Atlético San Luis vs Puebla: match statistics
Atlético San Luis holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash. Despite the poor form of both teams, the hosts present better scoring efficiency in home matches (1.36 goals per match) compared to Puebla away (0.83 goals). A key factor is the dramatic form of the visitors, who have not recorded a victory in their last 5 away matches and failed to score in half of them (FTS% 50%). Puebla concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away match with a goal difference of -15, which is a significantly worse result than the hosts' -4 at home. Although Atlético wins only 18% of home matches, their greater offensive stability and xG advantage (0.99 vs 1.17 for the guests, but with better defense xGA 1.38 vs 1.74) give them a real chance for three points. A draw remains probable due to the generally poor disposition of both teams this season.
Atlético San Luis vs Puebla: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético San Luis played Puebla in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Atlético San Luis: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Puebla: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético San Luis scores 1.54 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Puebla scores 1.04 and concedes 2.17. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético San Luis 67%, Puebla 50%. Over 2.5: Atlético San Luis 63%, Puebla 63%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Puebla has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.21. Atlético San Luis: 10.7 shots per match, Puebla: 12.0.
Match halves
Atlético San Luis: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00. Puebla: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Atlético San Luis: 61-75 (11 goals). Puebla: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético San Luis holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash. Despite the poor form of both teams, the hosts present better scoring efficiency in home matches (1.36 goals per match) compared to Puebla away (0.83 goals). A key factor is the dramatic form of the visitors, who have not recorded a victory in their last 5 away matches and failed to score in half of them (FTS% 50%). Puebla concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away match with a goal difference of -15, which is a significantly worse result than the hosts' -4 at home. Although Atlético wins only 18% of home matches, their greater offensive stability and xG advantage (0.99 vs 1.17 for the guests, but with better defense xGA 1.38 vs 1.74) give them a real chance for three points. A draw remains probable due to the generally poor disposition of both teams this season.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético San Luis | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético San Luis is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Atlético San Luis · 0.4 pts / match - Puebla
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético San Luis is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.54 goals / match - Atlético San Luis · 1.04 goals / match - Puebla
Atlético San Luis is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Atlético San Luis · 2.17 goals / match - Puebla
Atlético San Luis scores in 92% of matches (22 of 24 matches), while Puebla keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
Puebla scores in 54% of matches (13 of 24 matches), while Atlético San Luis keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético San Luis
Over / Under - Puebla
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético San Luis is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Atlético San Luis · 0.83 pts / match - Puebla
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético San Luis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Puebla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético San Luis
Puebla
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlético San Luis | Liga | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético San Luis 1 - 0 - 0 Puebla. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético San Luis vs Puebla?
The Liga MX match finished Atlético San Luis 0:1 Puebla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético San Luis vs Puebla?
Atlético San Luis score 1.54 goals per game on average and Puebla 1.04. The Liga MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Atlético San Luis's matches and 50% of Puebla's.
What form are Atlético San Luis and Puebla in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético San Luis have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Puebla 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético San Luis vs Puebla?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.