Atlético San Luis vs Pumas UNAM: match statistics
Atlético San Luis vs Pumas UNAM: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético San Luis played Pumas UNAM in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Atlético San Luis: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Pumas UNAM: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético San Luis scores 1.48 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Pumas UNAM scores 1.59 and concedes 1.34. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético San Luis 68%, Pumas UNAM 69%. Over 2.5: Atlético San Luis 61%, Pumas UNAM 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Pumas UNAM has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.18. Atlético San Luis: 10.5 shots per match, Pumas UNAM: 11.9.
Match halves
Atlético San Luis: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 1.00. Pumas UNAM: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Atlético San Luis: 61-75 (11 goals). Pumas UNAM: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Pumas UNAM win. The visitors show clearly better form — in the last 5 matches they scored 9 goals and recorded 3 wins and 2 draws (average 2.2 points per match), while Atlético San Luis scored 5 goals and has only 1 win and 2 draws (average 1.0 points per match). This season Pumas have 12 wins, 12 draws and 8 losses, whereas Atlético San Luis have 9 wins, 4 draws and 18 losses; away Pumas average 1.56 goals scored and concede 1.63, while San Luis at home average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded. Offensively Pumas register 11.06 shots per game with 3.5 on target and have an away xG of 1.22, whereas San Luis record 9.07 shots, 3.07 on target and a home xG of 1.02, indicating the visitors create more high-quality chances. Given the form advantage, higher xG (1.22 vs 1.02) and the low share of matches without a goal for the visitors (6% vs 20%), I assign Pumas a 55% probability to win, draw 25% and Atlético San Luis 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have high BTTS rates: Atlético San Luis 63% and Pumas 75% this season, averaging 69% and exceeding the league level of 59%. In the last 5 matches San Luis had BTTS in 80% and Pumas in 60%, with Pumas averaging 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded, and San Luis 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded, which suggests goal exchanges. xG and shot statistics confirm this: San Luis generates 1.4 xG with 12.75 shots and 4.19 shots on target, Pumas 1.22 xG with 11.06 shots and 3.50 on target, while xG against are 1.48 (San Luis) and 1.69 (Pumas) with recent-5 values of 2.1 and 1.86. Although San Luis has slightly more clean sheets (31% vs 19%), the season totals 46 goals scored/52 conceded (San Luis) and 51/43 (Pumas) and the high share of matches with goals for both teams favor BTTS. Based on this I assess BTTS - Yes as more likely, assigning it 80% probability and 20% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis: Home xG is 1.40 and xG against Pumas (xG_against_away) is 1.69 — together this yields roughly 1.55 expected goals for Atlético San Luis; similarly away xG 1.22 and xG_against_home 1.48 give about 1.35 for Pumas, total ≈2.90 goals. This 2.90 total aligns with the league average 2.9 and translates into a high probability for Over 1.5 (Poisson distribution with λ=2.90 gives ~78–79% for over 1.5); additionally seasonal Over 1.5 rates are 75% (home) and 88% (away). For the 2.5 line the distribution indicates about a 55% chance of at least 3 goals, which is close to seasonal values 44%/56% and the league 56% — therefore Over 2.5 is moderately likely but less certain than Over 1.5. Over 3.5 drops to about a 33% probability (seasonal Over 3.5: 38%/50%); additionally in the last 5 matches the home side has conceded on average 1.6 goals while the away side has scored on average 1.8, which pushes totals up but not enough for a confident Over 3.5. Conclusion: the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (line 1.5) with an estimate ~79%, taking into account the expected 2.90 goals and high both-teams-to-score indicators: 63% (home) and 75% (away).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics favor a draw at the break: Atlético San Luis were level at half-time in 10 of 16 home matches (63%), while Pumas led at half-time in 7 of 16 away games (44%), indicating a frequent half-time draw. Pumas show better form (60% wins in the last 5 matches) and have a higher average half-time goals (0.8 vs 0.4 in the last 5), and in second halves of away matches they average 1.56 goals and have scored 8 goals in minutes 76–90 this season. Both teams score frequently (BTTS 63% for the home side and 75% for the visitors), so I expect a goal after the break and a Pumas advantage in the final result. For these reasons I assign the highest probability to the Half-Time draw / Full-Time away win (X/2 — 28%), with the scenario of the visitors leading at the break and winning (2/2 — 22%) also realistic.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético San Luis | Pumas UNAM | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pumas UNAM is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Atlético San Luis · 2.2 pts / match - Pumas UNAM
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pumas UNAM is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Atlético San Luis · 1.59 goals / match - Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Atlético San Luis · 1.34 goals / match - Pumas UNAM
Atlético San Luis scores in 87% of matches (27 of 31 matches), while Pumas UNAM keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Pumas UNAM scores in 91% of matches (29 of 32 matches), while Atlético San Luis keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético San Luis
Over / Under - Pumas UNAM
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pumas UNAM is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Atlético San Luis · 1.47 pts / match - Pumas UNAM
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético San Luis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pumas UNAM - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético San Luis
Pumas UNAM
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlético San Luis | Liga | Pumas UNAM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.16 | 2.90 | • 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 59% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 72% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético San Luis 1 - 0 - 0 Pumas UNAM. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético San Luis vs Pumas UNAM?
The Liga MX match finished Atlético San Luis 0:2 Pumas UNAM. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético San Luis vs Pumas UNAM?
Atlético San Luis score 1.48 goals per game on average and Pumas UNAM 1.59. The Liga MX average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Atlético San Luis's matches and 69% of Pumas UNAM's.
What form are Atlético San Luis and Pumas UNAM in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético San Luis have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Pumas UNAM 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético San Luis vs Pumas UNAM?
The statistical background for Atlético San Luis vs Pumas UNAM — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.