Atlético Tembetary vs Encarnación: match statistics

Atlético Tembetary sit higher in the table, in 7th place, while Encarnación are 16th, with the difference also reflected in the season record: 8 home wins compared with 4 away wins. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals in the process, whereas Encarnación have suffered 4 defeats during this period, scoring just 4 goals. At home, Tembetary average 1.5 goals with an xG of 1.42, while the visitors score only 0.8 goals per away match and have failed to score in 60% of such fixtures. The hosts’ defence is not entirely reliable, conceding an average of 1.5 goals, but Encarnación’s poor conversion rate of 7% compared with Tembetary’s 15% limits the visitors’ chances. The home side should capitalise on their superior form and home advantage, although their low clean-sheet rate of just 10% increases the risk of conceding.

Atlético Tembetary have recorded BTTS in 64% of their matches, with this figure rising to 80% over their last 5 games, while averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in only 9% of matches, meaning Encarnación should have a realistic chance to score despite their own average of just 0.8 goals per game. The visitors have failed to score in 60% of their appearances, and their season BTTS rate stands at only 20%, which clearly reduces confidence in the BTTS - Yes pick. On the other hand, Tembetary have recently conceded an average of 2.4 goals, while Encarnación are producing 1.39 xG per game this season, more than the hosts' 1.36. There is a slight edge towards BTTS - Yes due to the hosts' very weak defence and their current run of open games.

Atlético Tembetary have averaged 2.0 goals scored across their last five matches, but Encarnación have conceded just 0.9 goals per game over the course of the season, which should limit the hosts’ scoring output. The visitors average 0.8 goals scored and have failed to score in as many as 60% of their matches, although Tembetary’s weak defense, conceding 2.4 goals per game recently, gives them a chance to find the net. The combined xG figures suggest around 2.60 goals, making a total of two or three goals the most realistic outcome. Under 3.5 goals has landed in 55% of the hosts’ matches and 80% of Encarnación’s, while neither team has averaged more than 1.0 goal per game over the entire season. Therefore, Under 3.5 goals has the strongest support, combining the visitors’ defensive profile with both teams’ limited scoring consistency.

Atlético Tembetary have clearly improved their current form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches while averaging 2.0 goals, whereas Encarnación have lost 4 of their last 5 games and scored just 0.8 goals per match. The hosts led at the break in 40% of those fixtures, while the visitors were behind at half-time in as many as 60%, strengthening the scenario of Tembetary taking the lead before the interval. The hosts’ attack produces an average of 1.36 xG, compared with the 1.65 xG conceded by Encarnación, while the visitors have kept a clean sheet in only 20% of their matches this season. Tembetary’s poor overall season record, with just a 9% win rate, remains a risk; however, their current form and the opponent’s defensive problems support the expectation that the hosts will retain their lead and secure the win.