Atlético Tembetary vs General Caballero JLM: match statistics

General Caballero JLM sit 2nd and have recorded 10 wins in 17 matches, while Atlético Tembetary are seventh with a record of 6 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats. The visitors are also in significantly better form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 points per game, whereas the hosts recorded just 1 win and 3 draws over the same period. In away matches, General Caballero create more chances, averaging 10.63 shots and 3.88 shots on target, compared with Atlético’s 9.38 and 3.25 at home, while also enjoying more possession (56% to 51%). The differences in chance quality are slight, with average xG standing at 1.39 for the visitors and 1.34 for the hosts, but Tembetary concede 1.38 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in only 13% of games. The hosts are dangerous on home soil, where they lose just 25% of matches, so a draw remains a realistic outcome; however, the visitors’ superior current form and league position point towards a narrow away win.

Seasonal BTTS indicators are clearly favorable: Atlético Tembetary record this outcome in 67% of matches, while General Caballero JLM do so in 63%, compared with a league average of 56%. The hosts are highly effective at home, scoring an average of 2.56 goals and conceding 1.33, while the visitors average 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. However, both defenses allow quality chances, as confirmed by average xG against figures of 1.35 for Tembetary and 1.50 for General Caballero. The last five matches produced fewer goals, but each team scored 6 goals, with average xG figures of 1.42 and 1.28, respectively. The visitors’ weaker current finishing lowers confidence in the pick, but the hosts’ low rate of matches without scoring, at 11%, combined with the vulnerability of both defenses, still provides stronger support for BTTS - Yes.

The Over 1.5 goals line is strongly supported by the season data: at least two goals were scored in 78% of Atlético Tembetary’s matches and in 75% of General Caballero JLM’s games. The home side averages 1.71 xG, while opponents allow 1.50 xG to their opponents, providing a basis for an estimated 1.42 goals for Tembetary. The visitors generate 1.39 xG per match, while the hosts concede an average of 1.35 xG, so their projected total of 1.20 goals is also justified. The teams’ last five matches were more subdued, with 40% of games finishing Over 2.5 goals, meaning the Over 2.5 market does not have such a clear edge. The combined projection of 2.62 goals indicates that Over 1.5 remains the safest choice.

Atlético Tembetary have a clearly stronger full-season profile: they win 78% of their matches, score an average of 2.56 goals, and collect 2.44 points per game, while General Caballero JLM win 38% of their matches. The hosts also create more chances, with an average xG of 1.71 compared with the opponents’ 1.39, while their average of 7.11 shots on target per match is significantly higher than the visitors’ 3.88. In the first halves, Tembetary led at the break in 44% of their matches and scored an average of 1.33 goals, whereas Caballero took the lead in only 13% and failed to score in as many as 63% of first halves. This supports the scenario of the hosts holding the advantage at half-time, and after the break Tembetary continue to show solid attacking efficiency, scoring an average of 1.22 goals. The last five matches slightly reduce confidence in the pick, as the hosts won only 20% of them, but their full-season quality advantage and home advantage still point most strongly to 1/1.