Atlético Tembetary vs Independiente FBC: match statistics
Atlético Tembetary vs Independiente FBC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Tembetary played Independiente FBC in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 7 July 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Atlético Tembetary: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Independiente FBC: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Tembetary scores 1.50 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Independiente FBC scores 1.42 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Tembetary 58%, Independiente FBC 50%. Over 2.5: Atlético Tembetary 42%, Independiente FBC 42%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Atlético Tembetary: 9.2 shots per match, Independiente FBC: 10.4.
Match halves
Atlético Tembetary: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.75. Independiente FBC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Atlético Tembetary: 16-30 (5 goals). Independiente FBC: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Tembetary has a clear home advantage: at home they win 60% of matches, score on average 1.8 goals per game and have a positive goal differential at home (+2), with average xG for 1.25 and average xG against 1.54. Independiente FBC wins 33% of away matches, scores on average 1.67 goals per game and has xG 1.22, taking slightly more shots per game (9.5 vs 8.6) and maintaining a higher clean sheet rate on the road (33% vs 20%). In the last 5 matches both teams scored 7 goals each; nevertheless the hosts conceded 10 goals in that period versus 8 for the visitors, and points-wise the visitors performed better (1.2 points per game in the last 5 vs 0.8 for the hosts). Tembetary’s key advantage is higher finishing efficiency — the conversion rate for the hosts is 21% versus 18% for Independiente — which, with similar xG (1.25 vs 1.22), gives them greater effectiveness in turning chances into goals. Overall I back the home win, considering the 60% home win rate, better conversion (21% vs 18%) and a slightly better defensive record (1.4 conceded vs 1.5 for the visitors); suggested probabilities are 55% for the home win, 25% for a draw and 20% for the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the BTTS market: away side has a season BTTS rate of 67%, and both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches each, versus a league BTTS average of 53%. Hosts conceded on average 2.0 goals in their last 5 matches (10 goals conceded in 5), while visitors scored 7 goals in their last five, increasing the likelihood both teams will score. Although hosts have a season clean sheet rate of 50% and a low season BTTS of 33% (which argues against BTTS), xG values show both sides create chances: hosts xG 1.52 vs visitors xG 1.22, and xG against both teams around 1.46–1.47. Additionally, hosts average 4.83 on-target shots vs 3.5 for visitors, but visitors have higher shot conversion (18% vs 10%), so I project BTTS ~62% vs 38% and recommend the "yes" (BTTS - Yes) selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I recommend Over 1.5 as the best option: both teams have 83% of their matches this season with more than 1.5 goals. Estimated xG is 1.49 for Atlético Tembetary and 1.35 for Independiente (total 2.84), which suggests the match should clear the 1.5-goal mark and is close to the 2.5 boundary. The hosts average 11.33 shots and 4.83 on target with xG 1.52, while the visitors average 9.5 shots, a 18% conversion rate and xG 1.22 — this combination of more opportunities from the hosts and higher efficiency from the visitors increases the likelihood of goals. Seasonal data for Over 2.5 is more balanced (33% hosts, 50% visitors; in the last 5 matches 40–60%), therefore I rate Over 2.5 at 58% and Over 3.5 at only 26%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The analysis indicates the most probable scenario is a draw at half-time and an away win at full-time (X/2). The home side are level at the break in 50% of matches, while the visitors have scored 15 first-half goals versus 6 for the hosts, highlighting the visitors’ offensive activity in the opening 45 minutes. The visitors have a seasonal average of 1.67 goals compared to the hosts’ 1.17 and a higher efficiency — shot conversion of 18% versus 10% for the hosts — so they are able to turn chances into goals. In the last five matches the visitors won 40% of games while the hosts won only 20%, which supports the idea that the visitors more often decide the outcome in the second half. Although the hosts generate a slightly higher xG (1.52 versus the visitors’ 1.22), their lower efficiency means that this situational advantage does not necessarily translate into a full-time victory for the home side.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Tembetary | Independiente FBC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente FBC is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Atlético Tembetary · 1.2 pts / match - Independiente FBC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Tembetary is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Atlético Tembetary · 1.42 goals / match - Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Atlético Tembetary · 1.25 goals / match - Independiente FBC
Atlético Tembetary scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Independiente FBC keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
Independiente FBC scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Atlético Tembetary keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Tembetary
Over / Under - Independiente FBC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Tembetary is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Atlético Tembetary · 1.17 pts / match - Independiente FBC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Tembetary - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Independiente FBC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Tembetary
Independiente FBC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Tembetary | Liga | Independiente FBC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.60 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 44% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Tembetary vs Independiente FBC?
The Division Intermedia match finished Atlético Tembetary 2:2 Independiente FBC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Tembetary vs Independiente FBC?
Atlético Tembetary score 1.50 goals per game on average and Independiente FBC 1.42. The Division Intermedia average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Atlético Tembetary's matches and 50% of Independiente FBC's.
What form are Atlético Tembetary and Independiente FBC in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Tembetary have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Independiente FBC 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Tembetary vs Independiente FBC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.