Atlético Zacatepec vs CA La Paz: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Atlético Zacatepec vs CA La Paz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Zacatepec play CA La Paz in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 25 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca.
Current form
Atlético Zacatepec: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. CA La Paz: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Zacatepec scores 0.78 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. CA La Paz scores 2.22 and concedes 1.11. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Zacatepec 33%, CA La Paz 56%. Over 2.5: Atlético Zacatepec 44%, CA La Paz 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
CA La Paz has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.36. Atlético Zacatepec: 11.8 shots per match, CA La Paz: 15.1.
Match halves
Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67. CA La Paz: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
Atlético Zacatepec: 46-60 (4 goals). CA La Paz: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Zacatepec | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CA La Paz is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 2.2 pts / match - CA La Paz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 185% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 2.22 goals / match - CA La Paz
CA La Paz is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.11 goals / match - CA La Paz
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
CA La Paz scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
Over / Under - CA La Paz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CA La Paz is 125% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 2 pts / match - CA La Paz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Zacatepec
CA La Paz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Zacatepec | Liga | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 3.22 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 56% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlético Zacatepec 0 - 1 - 1 CA La Paz. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Atlético Zacatepec and CA La Paz play?
Atlético Zacatepec face CA La Paz on 25 September 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Zacatepec and CA La Paz?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Zacatepec won 0, CA La Paz won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Zacatepec vs CA La Paz?
Atlético Zacatepec score 0.78 goals per game on average and CA La Paz 2.22. The Ascenso MX average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Atlético Zacatepec's matches and 56% of CA La Paz's.
What form are Atlético Zacatepec and CA La Paz in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Zacatepec have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and CA La Paz 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Zacatepec vs CA La Paz?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.