Atlético Zacatepec vs Correcaminos UAT: match statistics
Atlético Zacatepec vs Correcaminos UAT: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Zacatepec played Correcaminos UAT in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 9 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Atlético Zacatepec: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Correcaminos UAT: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Zacatepec scores 0.73 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Correcaminos UAT scores 1.73 and concedes 1.64. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Zacatepec 36%, Correcaminos UAT 73%. Over 2.5: Atlético Zacatepec 55%, Correcaminos UAT 73%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Correcaminos UAT has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.28. Atlético Zacatepec: 11.7 shots per match, Correcaminos UAT: 14.4.
Match halves
Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.64. Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Atlético Zacatepec: 46-60 (4 goals). Correcaminos UAT: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Correcaminos UAT hold a slight edge thanks to their effectiveness away from home: they score an average of 2.2 goals per match on the road, while Atlético Zacatepec average 0.8 at home. The visitors convert 19% of their shots, compared with 5% for the hosts, despite both teams averaging 4.2 shots on target in their respective away and home matches. Zacatepec’s recent run also supports backing the visitors: 4 defeats in 5 matches and 14 goals conceded. However, this is not a strong pick, as Correcaminos concede an average of 2.4 goals away from home, have failed to keep a clean sheet on the road, and the hosts’ home xG is 1.64 compared with the 1.95 xG conceded by the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal in favor of both teams scoring comes from Correcaminos’ away matches: BTTS landed in 100% of them, with the visitors averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Atlético Zacatepec average 1.33 goals at home, and their xG stands at 1.86 compared with the 1.95 xG allowed by the visitors’ defense, increasing the likelihood of a home goal. Correcaminos should also have chances, as Zacatepec conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game across their last five matches, with opponents recording an xG of 1.85. However, caution is warranted: the hosts scored only 0.6 goals per game in those five matches, and BTTS landed in 40% of them. Despite this risk, the visitors’ poor defense and consistent scoring make BTTS - Yes the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: all of Correcaminos’ away matches have gone over this line, while Atlético Zacatepec have done so in 50% of their home games. The hosts average 1.86 xG at home, while the visitors allow chances worth 1.95 xG and concede 2.4 goals per away match. Correcaminos score an average of 2.2 goals away from home, while Zacatepec have conceded an average of 2.8 goals across their last five matches. These figures point to scoring potential on both sides, but the lower line offers a clearer edge than the 2.5-goal threshold, especially as the hosts have scored only 3 goals in their last five games.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time appears most likely: Correcaminos were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Zacatepec were level at half-time in 4 of their 6 home games. The visitors could gain the upper hand after the break, as the hosts have conceded an average of 2.0 goals in the second half over their last 5 matches, while the visitors have scored 0.6 goals in that period. Correcaminos’ current form is also in their favour: they have averaged 1.0 goal per match compared with Zacatepec’s 0.6, with the hosts having lost 4 of their last 5 matches. However, the X/2 pick is not clear-cut, as the hosts have a higher season-long average xG (1.86 versus 1.29), giving them a genuine chance of a different full-time result.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Zacatepec | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Correcaminos UAT is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Correcaminos UAT is 137% better for: goals scored per match.
0.73 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.73 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT
Correcaminos UAT is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.64 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
Correcaminos UAT scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
Over / Under - Correcaminos UAT
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Correcaminos UAT is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.73 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.36 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Zacatepec
Correcaminos UAT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Zacatepec | Liga | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.73 | 3.23 | ▲ 3.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 56% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 24% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 75% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlético Zacatepec 1 - 1 - 0 Correcaminos UAT. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Zacatepec vs Correcaminos UAT?
The Ascenso MX match finished Atlético Zacatepec 2:1 Correcaminos UAT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Zacatepec and Correcaminos UAT?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Zacatepec won 1, Correcaminos UAT won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Zacatepec vs Correcaminos UAT?
Atlético Zacatepec score 0.73 goals per game on average and Correcaminos UAT 1.73. The Ascenso MX average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Atlético Zacatepec's matches and 73% of Correcaminos UAT's.
What form are Atlético Zacatepec and Correcaminos UAT in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Zacatepec have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Correcaminos UAT 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Zacatepec vs Correcaminos UAT?
The statistical background for Atlético Zacatepec vs Correcaminos UAT — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.