Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio Tecnológico de OaxacaData current as of 07 September 2026

Atlético Zacatepec vs Durango: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Atlético Zacatepec vs Durango: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético Zacatepec play Durango in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 11 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca.

Current form

Atlético Zacatepec: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Durango: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Zacatepec scores 0.86 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Durango scores 0.57 and concedes 1.14. League average: 3.33 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Zacatepec 43%, Durango 29%. Over 2.5: Atlético Zacatepec 43%, Durango 29%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Atlético Zacatepec has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.25. Atlético Zacatepec: 11.3 shots per match, Durango: 9.7.

Match halves

Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.86. Durango: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

Atlético Zacatepec: 46-60 (4 goals). Durango: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.33 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.57)
(3.22)
(2.44)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0.86Goals scored / match0.57
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
1.71Goals conceded / match1.14
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
53%Average possession60%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
3.57Shots on target / match3
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.29Shots per match9.71
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
3.57Shots on target3
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
7.6%Shot conversion5.9%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
53%Possession60%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
1.31xG for1.25
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
1.36xG against1.34
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

Shooting quality

Atlético Zacatepec: BalancedDurango: Balanced
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
Accuracy (shots on target)32%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.19

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Zacatepec is 250% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 0.4 pts / match - Durango

Atlético Zacatepec
WWLDL
Season result split
29% W14% R57% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
LWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Durango
LLLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W29% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
WWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Zacatepec is 51% better for: goals scored per match.

0.86 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 0.57 goals / match - Durango

Durango is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.71 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.14 goals / match - Durango

Atlético Zacatepec scoring profile: strong

Atlético Zacatepec scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Durango keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

Durango scoring profile: strong

Durango scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

6Goals scored (season)4
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
12Goals conceded (season)8
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
2.57Average goals in match1.71
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
6Goals scored (last 5)2
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal57%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
14%2 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0%3 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0%4 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal57%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
57%2 goals43%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
29%3 goals14%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
14%4 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
Atlético Zacatepec - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.3 of 7 matches
56%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time14%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0%Scored in both halves0%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
60%BTTS - last 540%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time43%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Zacatepec - half-time state
0% leading57% draw43% trailing
Durango - half-time state
0% leading57% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.57Points per match (1st half)0.57
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0Goals scored (1st half)0.14
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0.71Average goals (1st half)0.86
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
57%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
100%No goal before half-time86%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1.71
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
1.86Average goals (2nd half)0.86
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
43%Clean sheet after half-time86%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
29%No goal after half-time57%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results

29% W43% R29% P
4
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.57
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Durango - second-half results

43% W43% R14% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.57
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético Zacatepec - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.62.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Durango - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.20
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Zacatepec
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
4
16-30
0
1
31-45
4
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Durango
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.14
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
64%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Zacatepec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.80
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
44%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Durango

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.68
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
42%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Atlético ZacatepecLigaDurango
Average goals in match 2.573.33 1.71
Both teams scored 43%56% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%61% 29%
Clean sheets 29%25% 43%
Goal before half-time 43%76% 43%
Goal after half-time 86%76% 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.33
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.96
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+43%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
39%
3 goals
19%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Atlético Zacatepec and Durango play?

Atlético Zacatepec face Durango on 11 September 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Zacatepec vs Durango?

Atlético Zacatepec score 0.86 goals per game on average and Durango 0.57. The Ascenso MX average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Atlético Zacatepec's matches and 29% of Durango's.

What form are Atlético Zacatepec and Durango in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Zacatepec have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Durango 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Zacatepec vs Durango?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Zacatepec vs Durango: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.