Atlético Zacatepec vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics
Atlético Zacatepec hold the home advantage, despite weaker form in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 losses). The hosts demonstrate better scoring efficiency at home (1.33 goals per game) compared to the visitors away (0.92 goals). Leones Negros display terrible away form with 62% losses and only 23% wins, and their last five matches constitute a winless run (3 draws, 2 losses). xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.36 vs 1.2), suggesting higher-quality chance creation. The visitors' away goal difference (-15) and high rate of conceded goals (2.08 per game) further argue for an Atlético Zacatepec victory, although their inconsistent form calls for caution in predictions.
Atlético Zacatepec vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Zacatepec play Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Atlético Zacatepec: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.29 and concedes 1.93 goals per match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.20 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Zacatepec 61%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 57%. Over 2.5: Atlético Zacatepec 54%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 43%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.41. Atlético Zacatepec: 12.3 shots per match, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 12.5.
Match halves
Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Atlético Zacatepec: 76-90+ (8 goals). Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Atlético Zacatepec hold the home advantage, despite weaker form in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 losses). The hosts demonstrate better scoring efficiency at home (1.33 goals per game) compared to the visitors away (0.92 goals). Leones Negros display terrible away form with 62% losses and only 23% wins, and their last five matches constitute a winless run (3 draws, 2 losses). xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.36 vs 1.2), suggesting higher-quality chance creation. The visitors' away goal difference (-15) and high rate of conceded goals (2.08 per game) further argue for an Atlético Zacatepec victory, although their inconsistent form calls for caution in predictions.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Zacatepec | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Zacatepec is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.2 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.93 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.53 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Zacatepec
Over / Under — Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.2 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Zacatepec
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Zacatepec | Liga | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.21 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 57% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 54% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético Zacatepec 1 - 0 - 0 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Zacatepec vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The Ascenso MX match finished Atlético Zacatepec 1:1 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Zacatepec vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Atlético Zacatepec score 1.29 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1.20. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Atlético Zacatepec's matches and 57% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.
What form are Atlético Zacatepec and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Zacatepec have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Zacatepec vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The statistical background for Atlético Zacatepec vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.