Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 23 July 2026

Atlético Zacatepec vs Mineros de Zacatecas: match statistics

125%(3.00)
X30%(3.30)
245%(2.05)

Mineros de Zacatecas clearly outperform the hosts in terms of form and efficiency. Atlético Zacatepec has not won any home match this season (0% win rate), scoring only 0.88 goals while conceding 2.13 goals per game. The visitors, however, display significantly better offensive efficiency (1.78 goals away) and a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 7%). Mineros also boasts a better points tally in the last five matches (1.2 points per match vs 0.6) and a higher average possession (54% vs 48%). The difference in xG (1.58 vs 1.38) and in goal difference (-1 vs -10) further confirms the visitors' advantage, who should capitalize on the hosts' poor form and secure all three points.

Atlético Zacatepec vs Mineros de Zacatecas: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético Zacatepec play Mineros de Zacatecas in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 31 January 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Atlético Zacatepec: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mineros de Zacatecas: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.29 and concedes 1.93 goals per match. Mineros de Zacatecas scores 1.56 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Zacatepec 61%, Mineros de Zacatecas 62%. Over 2.5: Atlético Zacatepec 54%, Mineros de Zacatecas 59%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Mineros de Zacatecas has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.41. Atlético Zacatepec: 12.3 shots per match, Mineros de Zacatecas: 12.9.

Match halves

Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71. Mineros de Zacatecas: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Atlético Zacatepec: 76-90+ (8 goals). Mineros de Zacatecas: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Mineros de Zacatecas clearly outperform the hosts in terms of form and efficiency. Atlético Zacatepec has not won any home match this season (0% win rate), scoring only 0.88 goals while conceding 2.13 goals per game. The visitors, however, display significantly better offensive efficiency (1.78 goals away) and a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 7%). Mineros also boasts a better points tally in the last five matches (1.2 points per match vs 0.6) and a higher average possession (54% vs 48%). The difference in xG (1.58 vs 1.38) and in goal difference (-1 vs -10) further confirms the visitors' advantage, who should capitalize on the hosts' poor form and secure all three points.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

36Possession (%)64
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
10Shots4
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
2Shots on target2
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.07xG0.7
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
5Corners3
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
41Dangerous attacks41
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
18Fouls14
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
5Cards7
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.29Goals scored / match1.56
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.93Goals conceded / match1.5
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
45%Average possession53%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
4.21Shots on target / match4.79
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.32Shots per match12.88
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
4.21Shots on target4.79
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
10.4%Shot conversion12.1%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
45%Possession53%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.41xG for1.54
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.51xG against1.26
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

Shooting quality

Atlético Zacatepec: BalancedMineros de Zacatecas: Balanced
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mineros de Zacatecas is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.2 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas

Atlético Zacatepec
LDLLW
Season result split
25% W29% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-8-13
1.04 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-5-6
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Mineros de Zacatecas
DWLDD
Season result split
35% W38% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-13-9
1.44 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-8
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WLDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mineros de Zacatecas is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.56 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas

Mineros de Zacatecas is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.93 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.5 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas

Atlético Zacatepec scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Zacatepec scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).

Mineros de Zacatecas scoring profile: very strong

Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).

36Goals scored (season)53
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
54Goals conceded (season)51
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
3.21Average goals in match3.06
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
10Goals conceded (last 5)4
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal79%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
32%2 goals50%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
18%3 goals24%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
7%4 goals3%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal74%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
54%2 goals44%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
32%3 goals21%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
11%4 goals12%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
Atlético Zacatepec - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 28 matches
62%
Mineros de Zacatecas - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 34 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time35%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
21%BTTS in both halves9%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
29%Scored in both halves35%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
60%BTTS - last 540%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mineros de Zacatecas is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.07 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.71 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas

Atlético Zacatepec - half-time state
21% leading43% draw36% trailing
Mineros de Zacatecas - half-time state
47% leading29% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.07Points per match (1st half)1.71
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.88
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.46Average goals (1st half)1.53
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
36%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
57%No goal before half-time32%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per match (2nd half)1.21
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.04Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.53
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
36%Clean sheet after half-time41%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
43%No goal after half-time53%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results

29% W29% R43% P
30
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results

29% W32% R38% P
58
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding74%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 35%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Zacatepec - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.60.4
Average goals in match2.01.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet0%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-6+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Mineros de Zacatecas - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Zacatepec
ScoredConceded
2
8
0-15
7
7
16-30
7
10
31-45
6
10
46-60
6
4
61-75
8
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Mineros de Zacatecas
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
8
8
16-30
15
10
31-45
2
9
46-60
9
4
61-75
12
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.14
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Zacatepec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
171%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Mineros de Zacatecas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Atlético ZacatepecLigaMineros de Zacatecas
Average goals in match 3.212.85 3.06
Both teams scored 61%57% 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%53% 59%
Clean sheets 14%25% 26%
Goal before half-time 79%74% 85%
Goal after half-time 86%80% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Atlético Zacatepec 0 - 1 - 0 Mineros de Zacatecas. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Club Deportivo Mineros de Zacatecas
2 : 2
Club Atlético Zacatepec

FAQ

What was the result of Atlético Zacatepec vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

The Ascenso MX match finished Atlético Zacatepec 2:0 Mineros de Zacatecas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Zacatepec vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Atlético Zacatepec score 1.29 goals per game on average and Mineros de Zacatecas 1.56. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Atlético Zacatepec's matches and 62% of Mineros de Zacatecas's.

What form are Atlético Zacatepec and Mineros de Zacatecas in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Zacatepec have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mineros de Zacatecas 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Zacatepec vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.