Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio Tecnológico de OaxacaData current as of 13 August 2026

Atlético Zacatepec vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlético Zacatepec vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético Zacatepec play Tepatitlán de Morelos in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 14 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca.

Current form

Atlético Zacatepec: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 0-0-3, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Zacatepec scores 0.67 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 0.33 and concedes 3.00. League average: 3.04 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Zacatepec 0%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 33%. Over 2.5: Atlético Zacatepec 33%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 67%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Atlético Zacatepec has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.39. Atlético Zacatepec: 13.0 shots per match, Tepatitlán de Morelos: 11.3.

Match halves

Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Tepatitlán de Morelos: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Atlético Zacatepec: 46-60 (1 goals). Tepatitlán de Morelos: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.95)
(3.25)
(2.30)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0.67Goals scored / match0.33
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
1.67Goals conceded / match3
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
58%Average possession46%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
3Shots on target / match3.67
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13Shots per match11.33
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
3Shots on target3.67
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
5.1%Shot conversion2.9%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
58%Possession46%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
1.49xG for1.39
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
1.63xG against1.89
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

Shooting quality

Atlético Zacatepec: BalancedTepatitlán de Morelos: Balanced
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
Accuracy (shots on target)23%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.09

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Zacatepec
LLW
Season result split
33% W0% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.7Goals conceded: 1.7xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 33%
Tepatitlán de Morelos
LLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% R100% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-3
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-3
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.3Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.89BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 67%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Zacatepec is 103% better for: goals scored per match.

0.67 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 0.33 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Atlético Zacatepec is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 3 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Atlético Zacatepec scoring profile: strong

Atlético Zacatepec scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

Tepatitlán de Morelos scoring profile: mixed

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

2Goals scored (season)1
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
5Goals conceded (season)9
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
2.33Average goals in match3.33
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
2Goals scored (last 5)1
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

How often they score at least...

33%1 goal33%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
33%2 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0%3 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0%4 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal100%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
67%2 goals67%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
33%3 goals67%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0%4 goals33%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

0%
Atlético Zacatepec - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.0 of 3 matches
33%
Tepatitlán de Morelos - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.1 of 3 matches
43%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0%Scored in both halves0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0%BTTS - last 533%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time67%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tepatitlán de Morelos is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.33 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Atlético Zacatepec - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing
Tepatitlán de Morelos - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1.33
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0.67Average goals (1st half)1
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
100%No goal before half-time67%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)0
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
1Goals conceded (2nd half)2.33
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
1.67Average goals (2nd half)2.33
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
67%Clean sheet after half-time0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
67%No goal after half-time100%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results

0% W0% R100% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.7

Concedes 1.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Zacatepec - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.671.33
Goals scored / match0.00.7
Goals conceded / match0.71.0
Average goals in match0.71.7
1 goal33%67%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal100%67%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Tepatitlán de Morelos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.330.00
Goals scored / match0.30.0
Goals conceded / match0.72.3
Average goals in match1.02.3
1 goal67%100%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals0%67%
Clean sheet67%0%
No goal67%100%
Goal difference-1-7
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Zacatepec
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
17%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
11%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
45%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 2 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Zacatepec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.86
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.82
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
45%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-2.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
21%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
203%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Atlético ZacatepecLigaTepatitlán de Morelos
Average goals in match 2.333.04 3.33
Both teams scored 0%43% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%57% 67%
Clean sheets 33%33% 0%
Goal before half-time 33%65% 67%
Goal after half-time 67%74% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.04
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.57
Away goals / match
+-6%
Home attack advantage
+-6%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
48%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Atlético Zacatepec 0 - 1 - 1 Tepatitlán de Morelos. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 : 0
Club Atlético Zacatepec
Club Atlético Zacatepec
1 : 1
Tepatitlán de Morelos

FAQ

When do Atlético Zacatepec and Tepatitlán de Morelos play?

Atlético Zacatepec face Tepatitlán de Morelos on 14 August 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Zacatepec and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Zacatepec won 0, Tepatitlán de Morelos won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Zacatepec vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Atlético Zacatepec score 0.67 goals per game on average and Tepatitlán de Morelos 0.33. The Ascenso MX average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Atlético Zacatepec's matches and 33% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's.

What form are Atlético Zacatepec and Tepatitlán de Morelos in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Zacatepec have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-0-3 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Zacatepec vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

The statistical background for Atlético Zacatepec vs Tepatitlán de Morelos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.