Atlético Zacatepec vs Tlaxcala: match statistics
The match shapes up as a closely contested encounter between two teams in similarly poor form. Atlético Zacatepec displays dismal home form with a mere 11% win rate and a staggering 56% loss rate at their ground, conceding an average of 1.89 goals per game. Tlaxcala also performs very poorly on the road, losing 67% of their matches and without keeping a single clean sheet this season, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game. The recent form of both sides is inconsistent – the hosts with 1.2 points per match over their last five games, the visitors slightly better with 1.8 points. Considering both teams' poor defense, negative goal difference (hosts -8, visitors -16), and balanced xG value, the most likely outcome appears to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
Atlético Zacatepec vs Tlaxcala: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Zacatepec played Tlaxcala in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Atlético Zacatepec: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Tlaxcala: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.22 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. Tlaxcala scores 1.26 and concedes 1.89. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Zacatepec 61%, Tlaxcala 63%. Over 2.5: Atlético Zacatepec 50%, Tlaxcala 63%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Tlaxcala has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.33. Atlético Zacatepec: 11.6 shots per match, Tlaxcala: 13.8.
Match halves
Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.72. Tlaxcala: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Atlético Zacatepec: 16-30 (5 goals). Tlaxcala: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up as a closely contested encounter between two teams in similarly poor form. Atlético Zacatepec displays dismal home form with a mere 11% win rate and a staggering 56% loss rate at their ground, conceding an average of 1.89 goals per game. Tlaxcala also performs very poorly on the road, losing 67% of their matches and without keeping a single clean sheet this season, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game. The recent form of both sides is inconsistent – the hosts with 1.2 points per match over their last five games, the visitors slightly better with 1.8 points. Considering both teams' poor defense, negative goal difference (hosts -8, visitors -16), and balanced xG value, the most likely outcome appears to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Zacatepec | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tlaxcala is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.8 pts / match - Tlaxcala
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Zacatepec is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.89 goals / match - Tlaxcala
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
Tlaxcala scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
Over / Under - Tlaxcala
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tlaxcala is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.32 pts / match - Tlaxcala
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tlaxcala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Zacatepec
Tlaxcala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Zacatepec | Liga | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético Zacatepec 0 - 0 - 1 Tlaxcala. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Zacatepec vs Tlaxcala?
The Ascenso MX match finished Atlético Zacatepec 0:0 Tlaxcala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Zacatepec vs Tlaxcala?
Atlético Zacatepec score 1.22 goals per game on average and Tlaxcala 1.26. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Atlético Zacatepec's matches and 63% of Tlaxcala's.
What form are Atlético Zacatepec and Tlaxcala in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Zacatepec have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Tlaxcala 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Zacatepec vs Tlaxcala?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.