Atromitos vs Volos NFC: match statistics

Atromitos have home advantage, but both teams remain winless this season and have each recorded one draw and four defeats in their last five matches. At home, the hosts create chances worth an average of 1.45 xG per match, while Volos average 1.01 xG away from home, pointing to more opportunities for Atromitos. The difference in attacking output is also reflected in goals: the hosts score an average of 1 per home match, compared with 0.75 for the visitors away from home, who have failed to score in half of those games. Both defences are prone to mistakes, but Atromitos concede an average of 1.67 goals at home, compared with 2 conceded by Volos away. These figures give the hosts a slight edge, although neither side’s failure to win keeps the probability of a draw high.

BTTS has landed in 75% of Atromitos matches and 50% of Volos matches, rising to 80% and 60% respectively across their last five games, which points to goals at both ends. Atromitos have yet to keep a clean sheet, while Volos concede an average of 2.0 goals per match, giving the hosts a genuine chance of scoring. The visitors can also find the net: the hosts concede an average of 1.25 goals, and over their last five matches both teams have conceded 1.8 goals per game. However, the case for BTTS - Yes is only marginal, as both sides average just 0.75 goals scored per match and Volos have failed to score in 50% of their matches.

At least two goals were scored in 75% of matches involving the two teams, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. Atromitos average 0.75 goals scored, but Volos concede 2.00 goals per match, increasing the hosts’ chances of finding the net. Atromitos, meanwhile, concede an average of 1.25 goals and have yet to keep a clean sheet, so the visitors also have a realistic chance to score. Caution is warranted with higher lines, as both teams average just 0.75 goals scored, while Over 2.5 goals landed in 25% of Atromitos matches and 50% of Volos matches. The 2.70-goal forecast therefore points to value on Over 1.5, without equally strong support for Over 2.5.

A half-time draw is the most likely outcome: Atromitos have failed to score in the first half of all four home matches, while Volos have averaged just 0.25 goals before the break away from home. The prospect of an evenly matched start is further supported by Atromitos drawing at half-time in 50% of their home games and Volos doing so in three of their last five matches. Both teams have lost four of their last five matches and averaged just 0.8 goals per game over that spell, limiting confidence in either side to win. Atromitos have drawn 50% of their home matches, and although Volos have lost 75% of their away games, the hosts have yet to record a home win either. Therefore, a draw maintained through full-time is a marginally stronger pick than Atromitos winning after a half-time draw.