Kazakhstan - Kazakhstan Premier LeagueStadion MunayşıData current as of 06 August 2026

Atyrau vs Aktobe: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Atyrau vs Aktobe: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atyrau play Aktobe in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 9 August 2026. Venue: Stadion Munayşı.

Current form

Atyrau: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Aktobe: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atyrau scores 0.74 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Aktobe scores 1.45 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.37 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atyrau 53%, Aktobe 50%. Over 2.5: Atyrau 21%, Aktobe 45%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Aktobe has higher xG: 1.50 vs 0.87. Atyrau: 6.7 shots per match, Aktobe: 13.3.

Match halves

Atyrau: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.37. Aktobe: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

Atyrau: 16-30 (4 goals). Aktobe: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.17)
(3.15)
(2.32)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.74Goals scored / match1.45
AtyrauAktobe
0.95Goals conceded / match1.2
AtyrauAktobe
39%Average possession53%
AtyrauAktobe
2.68Shots on target / match5
AtyrauAktobe

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.74Shots per match13.25
AtyrauAktobe
2.68Shots on target5
AtyrauAktobe
10.9%Shot conversion10.9%
AtyrauAktobe
39%Possession53%
AtyrauAktobe
0.87xG for1.5
AtyrauAktobe
1.5xG against1.42
AtyrauAktobe

Shooting quality

Atyrau: BalancedAktobe: Balanced
AtyrauAktobe
Accuracy (shots on target)40%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aktobe is 800% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Atyrau · 1.8 pts / match - Aktobe

Atyrau
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
16% W53% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-10-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-4-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WDLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Aktobe
WLWWL
Season result split
45% W20% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-7
1.55 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Aktobe is 96% better for: goals scored per match.

0.74 goals / match - Atyrau · 1.45 goals / match - Aktobe

Atyrau is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.95 goals / match - Atyrau · 1.2 goals / match - Aktobe

Atyrau scoring profile: strong

Atyrau scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Aktobe keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).

Aktobe scoring profile: strong

Aktobe scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Atyrau keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).

14Goals scored (season)29
AtyrauAktobe
18Goals conceded (season)24
AtyrauAktobe
1.68Average goals in match2.65
AtyrauAktobe
3Goals scored (last 5)11
AtyrauAktobe
9Goals conceded (last 5)10
AtyrauAktobe

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal75%
AtyrauAktobe
11%2 goals45%
AtyrauAktobe
0%3 goals15%
AtyrauAktobe
0%4 goals10%
AtyrauAktobe

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal70%
AtyrauAktobe
21%2 goals30%
AtyrauAktobe
5%3 goals15%
AtyrauAktobe
0%4 goals5%
AtyrauAktobe

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time20%
AtyrauAktobe
0%BTTS in both halves10%
AtyrauAktobe
0%Scored in both halves30%
AtyrauAktobe

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
AtyrauAktobe
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
AtyrauAktobe
60%BTTS - last 5100%
AtyrauAktobe

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
AtyrauAktobe
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
AtyrauAktobe
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
AtyrauAktobe

2nd half

53%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
AtyrauAktobe
11%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
AtyrauAktobe
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
AtyrauAktobe

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Aktobe is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / match - Atyrau · 1.55 pts / match - Aktobe

Atyrau - half-time state
21% leading47% draw32% trailing
Aktobe - half-time state
35% leading50% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per match (1st half)1.55
AtyrauAktobe
0.37Goals scored (1st half)0.6
AtyrauAktobe
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.35
AtyrauAktobe
1.05Average goals (1st half)0.95
AtyrauAktobe
53%Clean sheet before half-time65%
AtyrauAktobe
68%No goal before half-time50%
AtyrauAktobe

After half-time (2nd half)

1.32Points per match (2nd half)1.25
AtyrauAktobe
0.37Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
AtyrauAktobe
0.26Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
AtyrauAktobe
0.63Average goals (2nd half)1.7
AtyrauAktobe
74%Clean sheet after half-time45%
AtyrauAktobe
68%No goal after half-time45%
AtyrauAktobe

Atyrau - second-half results

26% W53% R21% P
21
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Aktobe - second-half results

25% W50% R25% P
31
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atyrau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.40.4
Average goals in match1.80.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-5-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Aktobe - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.60
Goals scored / match1.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match2.02.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+4-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atyrau
ScoredConceded
0
5
0-15
4
8
16-30
3
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Aktobe
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
6
0
16-30
5
3
31-45
6
3
46-60
6
3
61-75
5
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atyrau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
53%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Aktobe

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
149%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).

Teams vs league

AtyrauLigaAktobe
Average goals in match 1.682.37 2.65
Both teams scored 53%54% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 21%44% 45%
Clean sheets 32%28% 30%
Goal before half-time 63%65% 65%
Goal after half-time 53%70% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.37
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
0.97
Away goals / match
+44%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Atyrau 0 - 1 - 2 Aktobe. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Aktobe
1 : 1
Atyrau
FK Aktobe
2 : 0
FK Atyrau
FK Atyrau
0 : 4
FK Aktobe

FAQ

When do Atyrau and Aktobe play?

Atyrau face Aktobe on 9 August 2026 in Kazakhstan Premier League at Stadion Munayşı. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atyrau and Aktobe?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atyrau won 0, Aktobe won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atyrau vs Aktobe?

Atyrau score 0.74 goals per game on average and Aktobe 1.45. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Atyrau's matches and 50% of Aktobe's.

What form are Atyrau and Aktobe in?

Over the last 5 games Atyrau have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Aktobe 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atyrau vs Aktobe?

The statistical background for Atyrau vs Aktobe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.