Atyrau vs Altay: match statistics
Atyrau vs Altay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atyrau play Altay in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Atyrau: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Altay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atyrau scores 0.76 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Altay scores 0.78 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atyrau 53%, Altay 44%. Over 2.5: Atyrau 24%, Altay 28%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Altay has higher xG: 1.25 vs 0.87. Atyrau: 6.7 shots per match, Altay: 10.7.
Match halves
Atyrau: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.41. Altay: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Atyrau: 61-75 (4 goals). Altay: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a draw. Atyrau at home concedes only 0.25 goals per match on average and has a 75% clean sheet rate, which significantly limits high-risk situations. However, the hosts score just 0.5 goals at home and fail to score in 75% of games, with an average xG of 0.75, so their attack is weak. Altay away generates substantially more: 10.67 shots per match, 3.67 on target and xG 1.18, but converts only 6% and has 0% away wins with 67% draws. In the last 5 matches Altay averages 1.6 points per game versus Atyrau’s 1.2, so although the visitors create more chances, the lack of away finishing and the hosts’ solid defence lead me to assign a high probability to a draw (50%), with 30% for a home win and 20% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atyrau | Altay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Altay is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Atyrau · 1.4 pts / match - Altay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atyrau is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Atyrau · 1.22 goals / match - Altay
Atyrau scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Altay keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Altay scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Atyrau keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atyrau
Over / Under — Altay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atyrau is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Atyrau · 0.72 pts / match - Altay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atyrau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Altay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atyrau
Altay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Atyrau | Liga | Altay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.71 | 2.31 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 42% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 29% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 62% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Atyrau vs Altay?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Atyrau 1:0 Altay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atyrau vs Altay?
Atyrau score 0.76 goals per game on average and Altay 0.78. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Atyrau's matches and 44% of Altay's.
What form are Atyrau and Altay in?
Over the last 5 games Atyrau have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Altay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atyrau vs Altay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.