Atyrau vs Kaisar: match statistics
Atyrau vs Kaisar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atyrau played Kaisar in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Atyrau: 0-4-0, 1.00 points/match. Kaisar: 0-3-1, 0.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atyrau scores 0.50 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Kaisar scores 0.25 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atyrau 50%, Kaisar 25%. Over 2.5: Atyrau 0%, Kaisar 0%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Kaisar has higher xG: 1.21 vs 0.87. Atyrau: 7.0 shots per match, Kaisar: 12.8.
Match halves
Atyrau: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.00. Kaisar: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Atyrau: 16-30 (2 goals). Kaisar: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atyrau has yet to win at home (0 wins) — all 4 home matches have ended in draws (4 of 4). The hosts have kept 100% clean sheets at home and have not scored in home fixtures (percentage of goalless matches 100%). Kaisar away: 0 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, with just 1 away goal and an average of 0 goals scored on the road; they concede an average of 2 goals away and have an average xG against of 2.72, indicating defensive fragility. Atyrau registers 0.89 xG per home match with 7.5 shots and 2 shots on target per game, while Kaisar posts a higher attacking away xG (1.29) and more shots (12) but extremely poor finishing (conversion rate 0 in the data), which limits their real goal threat. In the last 5 matches Atyrau scored 6 goals and has a record of 1 win and 4 draws (form 'ddddw', averaging 1.4 points per game), whereas Kaisar scored 3 goals in their last five with form 'ddldw' (averaging 1.2 points per game), giving a slight form advantage to the hosts. Therefore the most likely scenario is a draw (60%), with a 25% probability for a home win due to Kaisar’s defensive vulnerability and a 15% probability for an away win because of their struggles to score on the road.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I forecast No Goal (both teams not to score) because Atyrau averages only 0.33 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per season, while Kaisar away averages 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, which clearly limits the visitors' chances to score. Season BTTS rates are 33% for Atyrau and 0% for Kaisar, and in the last 5 matches BTTS stood at 40% and 20% respectively, both below the league average of 50%. Additionally, Atyrau keeps a clean sheet in 67% of matches versus a league clean sheet rate of 69%, suggesting Atyrau’s games frequently end with a clean sheet expected. Although xG shows some chance creation (xG Atyrau 1.18 vs Kaisar 1.29), Kaisar has xG against as high as 2.72 and a season shot conversion of 0.0% with an average of 4.0 shots on target per match, so their ability to convert chances into goals is limited; therefore a 75% probability for No and 25% for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over the last 5 matches Atyrau averaged 1.32 xG and Kaisar 1.47 xG, giving a combined xG of 2.79; the model therefore projects 1.34 expected goals for the home side and 1.45 for the visitors (total 2.79). Atyrau attempts 13 shots per game with 3.33 on target, and Kaisar 12 shots with 4.0 on target, so both teams create chances despite low seasonal conversion rates (Atyrau 3% and Kaisar 0%). Seasonal figures are conservative: Atyrau scores 0.33 goals per home match, Kaisar has 0.0 goals away, and both teams have 0% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, so risk remains. Considering the combined xG=2.79 and shot activity, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (high probability), while Over 2.5 has a moderate chance.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a draw at half-time and at full-time (X/X): the home team have recorded 4 draws and 1 win in their last 5 matches (form 'ddddw', last5_drawPercentage_overall_home = 80%), while the away side had 3 draws in 5 (last5_drawPercentage_overall_away = 60%). The first half is expected to be low-scoring — Atyrau and Kaisar average 0.6 goals each by half-time (last5_scoredAVGHT_overall_home = 0.6, last5_scoredAVGHT_overall_away = 0.6), giving a combined half-time average of 1.2 goals which favors 0-0/1-1 draws. Additionally, Atyrau and the league record a high number of clean sheets (seasonCSPercentage_home = 67%, league_seasonCSPercentage = 69%), reducing the likelihood of an open game and favoring a draw after 90 minutes. Kaisar have higher attacking xG (xg_for_avg_away = 1.29 vs xg_for_avg_home = 1.18) but also concede a lot of xG (xg_against_avg_away = 2.72), and their shot conversion rate is 0.0 (shot_conversion_rate_away = 0.0), so created chances do not necessarily translate into goals. On this basis I indicate X/X as the most reliable scenario with the highest probability (44%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atyrau | Kaisar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.07 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atyrau is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Atyrau · 0.75 pts / match - Kaisar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atyrau is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Atyrau · 0.25 goals / match - Kaisar
Atyrau is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Atyrau · 0.75 goals / match - Kaisar
Atyrau scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Kaisar keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Kaisar scores in 25% of matches (1 of 4 matches), while Atyrau keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atyrau
Over / Under - Kaisar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atyrau is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Atyrau · 1.25 pts / match - Kaisar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atyrau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kaisar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 25% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 25% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 75% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atyrau
Kaisar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Atyrau | Liga | Kaisar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.00 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 31% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 25% | 63% | ▼ 25% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atyrau 0 - 1 - 1 Kaisar. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atyrau vs Kaisar?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Atyrau 2:0 Kaisar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atyrau and Kaisar?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atyrau won 0, Kaisar won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atyrau vs Kaisar?
Atyrau score 0.50 goals per game on average and Kaisar 0.25. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atyrau's matches and 25% of Kaisar's.
What form are Atyrau and Kaisar in?
Over the last 5 games Atyrau have a 0-4-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Kaisar 0-3-1 (0.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atyrau vs Kaisar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.