Atyrau vs Kyzyl-Zhar: match statistics
Atyrau vs Kyzyl-Zhar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atyrau played Kyzyl-Zhar in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Atyrau: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Kyzyl-Zhar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atyrau scores 0.80 and concedes 0.40 goals per match. Kyzyl-Zhar scores 1.60 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atyrau 40%, Kyzyl-Zhar 40%. Over 2.5: Atyrau 0%, Kyzyl-Zhar 60%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Kyzyl-Zhar has higher xG: 1.38 vs 0.83. Atyrau: 6.4 shots per match, Kyzyl-Zhar: 12.6.
Match halves
Atyrau: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Kyzyl-Zhar: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.40.
Goals by minute
Atyrau: 16-30 (2 goals). Kyzyl-Zhar: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.22 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atyrau has a clear defensive advantage at home: 100% clean sheets and an average of 0.00 goals conceded per match, yet they fail to score in 67% of home games. Visitors Kyzyl‑Zhar have not scored on the road (average goals 0.00) and have no away wins, which substantially lowers their realistic chances of victory. Offensively Atyrau averages 0.67 goals at home with xG 0.83 and 2.67 shots on target per game, while Kyzyl‑Zhar record an away xG of 1.19 and about 13 shots per match, but their away goalless rate is 100% — they generate chances but fail to convert. In the last 5 matches Atyrau scored 8 goals and are 2 wins and 3 draws (average 1.8 points per game), whereas Kyzyl‑Zhar scored 7 goals and are 2-2-1 (average 1.6 points per game), so form slightly favors the hosts. Considering Atyrau’s compact home defence (0.00 conceded at home) and the visitors’ lack of away finishing, I estimate 60% probability for a home win, 30% for a draw and 10% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS - Yes at 30% and No Goal at 70%, therefore I recommend a 'no' bet. Main signal against BTTS is Kyzyl-Zhar — season BTTS rate 0% with 50% of away matches finished as clean sheet expected. Atyrau at home shows very offensive numbers: 2.67 goals scored on average, xG 1.51 and 6.33 shots on target, but the opponent away produces only 2.5 shots on target and has a conversion rate 0.0%, which limits their scoring chances. In the last 5 matches Atyrau concedes on average 0.4 goals, while Kyzyl-Zhar records xG 1.4 in their last five, giving mixed attacking signals, yet the advantage lies with the visitors' ability to keep clean sheets. Considering the 67% BTTS rate for the home side versus 0% for the away side and half of the visitors' away games ending goalless, the 'no' scenario looks stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model combined with a comparison of defensive averages yields expected goals of 1.42 for Atyrau and 1.23 for Kyzyl‑Zhar, totaling 2.65 goals. Atyrau averages 6.33 shots on target per match versus 2.5 for their opponents and has a high conversion rate of 22%; in the last 5 matches they scored 8 goals (1.6 per match), while Kyzyl‑Zhar scored 7 in their last 5 (1.4 per match). The league average is 2.13 goals per match, and the projected 2.65 is clearly above that; additionally Atyrau’s home seasonal scoring average is 2.67 goals with 100% of home matches exceeding 1.5 goals. The edge in xG (1.51 vs 1.19) and chance creation (6.33 vs 2.5 shots on target), together with Atyrau’s low goals conceded average in the last 5 matches (0.4 per match), point toward a higher-scoring game. Therefore I recommend the over side on the 1.5 line; I assess the probability of Over 1.5 at about 88%, Over 2.5 at 62% and Over 3.5 at 28%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Atyrau holds a clear advantage: the home side average 2.67 goals per home match versus 0.0 for Kyzyl‑Zhar away, possess higher xG (1.51 vs 1.19) and substantially more shots on target (6.33 vs 2.5). The hosts win 67% of their home matches and lead at the break in 33% of games, whereas the visitors have not recorded a lead at half‑time (0%), which strongly supports Atyrau leading after 45 minutes. Additionally, Atyrau’s conversion rate is 22% compared to 0% for their opponents, and they score an average of 2.33 goals in second halves at home — registering over 0.5 second‑half goals in 100% of home matches — so they frequently increase the score after the break. Considering these figures (2.67 vs 0.0 goals, xG 1.51 vs 1.19, 6.33 vs 2.5 shots on target), the most likely HT/FT outcome is 1/1 (Atyrau lead at half‑time and win), hence the selection '1/1'.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atyrau | Kyzyl-Zhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kyzyl-Zhar is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Atyrau · 1.6 pts / match - Kyzyl-Zhar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kyzyl-Zhar is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Atyrau · 1.6 goals / match - Kyzyl-Zhar
Atyrau is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.4 goals / match - Atyrau · 0.8 goals / match - Kyzyl-Zhar
Atyrau scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Kyzyl-Zhar keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Kyzyl-Zhar scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Atyrau keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atyrau
Over / Under - Kyzyl-Zhar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atyrau is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Atyrau · 1 pts / match - Kyzyl-Zhar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atyrau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kyzyl-Zhar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atyrau
Kyzyl-Zhar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Atyrau | Liga | Kyzyl-Zhar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.20 | 2.22 | ▲ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 53% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 38% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 30% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 40% | 69% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atyrau 1 - 0 - 1 Kyzyl-Zhar. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atyrau vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Atyrau 0:1 Kyzyl-Zhar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atyrau and Kyzyl-Zhar?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atyrau won 1, Kyzyl-Zhar won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atyrau vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
Atyrau score 0.80 goals per game on average and Kyzyl-Zhar 1.60. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atyrau's matches and 40% of Kyzyl-Zhar's.
What form are Atyrau and Kyzyl-Zhar in?
Over the last 5 games Atyrau have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Kyzyl-Zhar 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atyrau vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.