Aubagne vs Bourg-en-Bresse: match statistics
Aubagne displays solid home form with just 13% losses on their own turf and an impressive 75% draw rate, indicating the hosts' defensive stability. Bourg-en-Bresse performs significantly worse in away matches, losing 50% of games and scoring an average of only 0.9 goals per match. Possession statistics (54% for Aubagne vs 45% for the visitors) and a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 10%) favor the hosts. Although Aubagne tends to draw at their own stadium, the recent form of both teams (1 PPG for the hosts vs 1.4 PPG for the visitors in the last 5 matches) and the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.26 vs 1.1) suggest a slight edge for the hosts. Considering all factors, we expect a close match with a slight advantage for Aubagne, though a draw remains a realistic scenario.
Aubagne vs Bourg-en-Bresse: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aubagne played Bourg-en-Bresse in National (France). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Aubagne: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bourg-en-Bresse: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aubagne scores 1.39 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Bourg-en-Bresse scores 0.79 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aubagne 67%, Bourg-en-Bresse 47%. Over 2.5: Aubagne 44%, Bourg-en-Bresse 42%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Aubagne has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.07. Aubagne: 9.4 shots per match, Bourg-en-Bresse: 9.0.
Match halves
Aubagne: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.89. Bourg-en-Bresse: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Aubagne: 76-90+ (8 goals). Bourg-en-Bresse: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aubagne displays solid home form with just 13% losses on their own turf and an impressive 75% draw rate, indicating the hosts' defensive stability. Bourg-en-Bresse performs significantly worse in away matches, losing 50% of games and scoring an average of only 0.9 goals per match. Possession statistics (54% for Aubagne vs 45% for the visitors) and a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 10%) favor the hosts. Although Aubagne tends to draw at their own stadium, the recent form of both teams (1 PPG for the hosts vs 1.4 PPG for the visitors in the last 5 matches) and the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.26 vs 1.1) suggest a slight edge for the hosts. Considering all factors, we expect a close match with a slight advantage for Aubagne, though a draw remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aubagne | Bourg-en-Bresse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bourg-en-Bresse is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Aubagne · 2 pts / match - Bourg-en-Bresse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aubagne is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Aubagne · 0.79 goals / match - Bourg-en-Bresse
Aubagne is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Aubagne · 1.37 goals / match - Bourg-en-Bresse
Aubagne scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Bourg-en-Bresse keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Bourg-en-Bresse scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Aubagne keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aubagne
Over / Under - Bourg-en-Bresse
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aubagne is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Aubagne · 0.79 pts / match - Bourg-en-Bresse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aubagne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bourg-en-Bresse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aubagne
Bourg-en-Bresse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Aubagne | Liga | Bourg-en-Bresse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.29 | ▼ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 46% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 69% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Aubagne 0 - 1 - 0 Bourg-en-Bresse. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aubagne vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
The National match finished Aubagne 1:0 Bourg-en-Bresse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aubagne vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
Aubagne score 1.39 goals per game on average and Bourg-en-Bresse 0.79. The National average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Aubagne's matches and 47% of Bourg-en-Bresse's.
What form are Aubagne and Bourg-en-Bresse in?
Over the last 5 games Aubagne have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bourg-en-Bresse 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aubagne vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aubagne vs Bourg-en-Bresse: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.