Aubagne vs Caen: match statistics
Aubagne vs Caen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aubagne play Caen in National (France). The match date is 15 May 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Aubagne: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Caen: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aubagne scores 1.19 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Caen scores 1.22 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aubagne 66%, Caen 56%. Over 2.5: Aubagne 50%, Caen 41%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Caen has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.23. Aubagne: 9.6 shots per match, Caen: 11.2.
Match halves
Aubagne: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75. Caen: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Aubagne: 76-90+ (12 goals). Caen: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Caen are the favorites in this match: in their last 5 games the visitors have 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring 9 goals and conceding only 1, while Aubagne over the same period have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses with a 5-9 goal record. The home side’s goals-per-game at home is 1.00 with 1.53 conceded, home xG averages 1.28 versus xG against 1.43, indicating Aubagne create few high-quality chances and more often allow dangerous situations to opponents. Caen away score on average 1.47 and concede 1.40, with similar xG for 1.27 and xG against 1.29, but a significantly higher conversion rate of 15% versus the home side’s 10% and on average more shots on target (3.87 vs 3.53), translating into greater efficiency. Over the whole season Aubagne’s record is 35-45 (goal difference -10) versus Caen 37-31 (goal difference +6), and in the last 5 matches average points are 0.8 for Aubagne and 2.2 for Caen; the hosts also have only a 13% home win rate and 7% clean sheets, while Caen away record shows 20% wins and 13% clean sheets. Considering the markedly superior form, greater efficiency (9 goals vs 5 in the last 5) and better goal balance, I predict an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aubagne | Caen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caen is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Aubagne · 2 pts / match - Caen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caen is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Aubagne · 1.06 goals / match - Caen
Aubagne scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Caen keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
Caen scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Aubagne keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Aubagne
Over / Under — Caen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caen is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Aubagne · 1.5 pts / match - Caen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aubagne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Caen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aubagne
Caen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Aubagne | Liga | Caen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.42 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 29% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Aubagne 0 - 0 - 1 Caen. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aubagne vs Caen?
The National match finished Aubagne 3:1 Caen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aubagne vs Caen?
Aubagne score 1.19 goals per game on average and Caen 1.22. The National average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Aubagne's matches and 56% of Caen's.
What form are Aubagne and Caen in?
Over the last 5 games Aubagne have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Caen 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aubagne vs Caen?
The statistical background for Aubagne vs Caen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.