Audace Cerignola vs Potenza Calcio: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a very balanced encounter between teams in similar form. Audace Cerignola presents better indicators at home (xG 1.66 vs xGA 1.18), yet their home record is disappointing—only 20% wins and as many as 40% losses. Potenza Calcio has poor away form (60% losses, 0% clean sheets), but their last five matches show stabilization with three draws. Both teams score an average of 1.2 goals per match in their respective conditions and have an identical 1.2 points per game in their last five encounters. Considering the high percentage of draws for both teams this season and their evenly matched disposition, a division of points is the most probable scenario.
Audace Cerignola vs Potenza Calcio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Audace Cerignola played Potenza Calcio in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 9 January 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Audace Cerignola: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Potenza Calcio: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Audace Cerignola scores 1.15 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Potenza Calcio scores 1.35 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Audace Cerignola 55%, Potenza Calcio 55%. Over 2.5: Audace Cerignola 50%, Potenza Calcio 60%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Audace Cerignola has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.48. Audace Cerignola: 13.0 shots per match, Potenza Calcio: 13.0.
Match halves
Audace Cerignola: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.75. Potenza Calcio: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Audace Cerignola: 46-60 (6 goals). Potenza Calcio: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a very balanced encounter between teams in similar form. Audace Cerignola presents better indicators at home (xG 1.66 vs xGA 1.18), yet their home record is disappointing—only 20% wins and as many as 40% losses. Potenza Calcio has poor away form (60% losses, 0% clean sheets), but their last five matches show stabilization with three draws. Both teams score an average of 1.2 goals per match in their respective conditions and have an identical 1.2 points per game in their last five encounters. Considering the high percentage of draws for both teams this season and their evenly matched disposition, a division of points is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Audace Cerignola | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Potenza Calcio is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Audace Cerignola · 1.35 goals / match - Potenza Calcio
Audace Cerignola scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Potenza Calcio scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Audace Cerignola keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Audace Cerignola
Over / Under - Potenza Calcio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Potenza Calcio is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Audace Cerignola · 1.5 pts / match - Potenza Calcio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Audace Cerignola - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Potenza Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Audace Cerignola
Potenza Calcio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Audace Cerignola | Liga | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.60 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 67% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Audace Cerignola 0 - 1 - 0 Potenza Calcio. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Audace Cerignola vs Potenza Calcio?
The Serie C Group C match finished Audace Cerignola 4:0 Potenza Calcio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Audace Cerignola vs Potenza Calcio?
Audace Cerignola score 1.15 goals per game on average and Potenza Calcio 1.35. The Serie C Group C average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Audace Cerignola's matches and 55% of Potenza Calcio's.
What form are Audace Cerignola and Potenza Calcio in?
Over the last 5 games Audace Cerignola have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Potenza Calcio 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Audace Cerignola vs Potenza Calcio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Audace Cerignola vs Potenza Calcio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.