Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Casarano: match statistics
Audace Cerignola displays solid home form with a 46% clean sheet rate and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, indicating defensive stability. The hosts hold an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.61 vs 1.11), pointing to better quality of chances created. Virtus Casarano has serious issues in away matches – 62% losses, only 23% wins, and a catastrophic goal difference of -15. The visitors concede an average of 2.46 goals away with a mere 8% clean sheet rate, which is an alarming signal. Despite similar form in the last five matches (both teams averaging 1.6 points per game), the home advantage and Cerignola's significantly better defense point towards a home win. The xG Against statistics (1.18 vs 1.82) further confirm that Audace Cerignola is a tougher opponent to beat on their own turf.
Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Casarano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Audace Cerignola played Virtus Casarano in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 20 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Audace Cerignola: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Virtus Casarano: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Audace Cerignola scores 1.19 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Virtus Casarano scores 1.37 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Audace Cerignola 44%, Virtus Casarano 48%. Over 2.5: Audace Cerignola 48%, Virtus Casarano 59%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Audace Cerignola has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.22. Audace Cerignola: 12.7 shots per match, Virtus Casarano: 9.4.
Match halves
Audace Cerignola: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.74. Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Audace Cerignola: 46-60 (8 goals). Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Audace Cerignola displays solid home form with a 46% clean sheet rate and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, indicating defensive stability. The hosts hold an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.61 vs 1.11), pointing to better quality of chances created. Virtus Casarano has serious issues in away matches – 62% losses, only 23% wins, and a catastrophic goal difference of -15. The visitors concede an average of 2.46 goals away with a mere 8% clean sheet rate, which is an alarming signal. Despite similar form in the last five matches (both teams averaging 1.6 points per game), the home advantage and Cerignola's significantly better defense point towards a home win. The xG Against statistics (1.18 vs 1.82) further confirm that Audace Cerignola is a tougher opponent to beat on their own turf.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Audace Cerignola | Virtus Casarano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Virtus Casarano is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Audace Cerignola · 1.37 goals / match - Virtus Casarano
Audace Cerignola is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Audace Cerignola · 1.67 goals / match - Virtus Casarano
Audace Cerignola scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
Virtus Casarano scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Audace Cerignola keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Audace Cerignola
Over / Under - Virtus Casarano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Audace Cerignola - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Virtus Casarano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Audace Cerignola
Virtus Casarano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Audace Cerignola | Liga | Virtus Casarano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.41 | 2.50 | ▲ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 30% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Audace Cerignola 0 - 0 - 1 Virtus Casarano. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Casarano?
The Serie C Group C match finished Audace Cerignola 2:1 Virtus Casarano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Casarano?
Audace Cerignola score 1.19 goals per game on average and Virtus Casarano 1.37. The Serie C Group C average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Audace Cerignola's matches and 48% of Virtus Casarano's.
What form are Audace Cerignola and Virtus Casarano in?
Over the last 5 games Audace Cerignola have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Virtus Casarano 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Casarano?
The statistical background for Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Casarano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.