Augsburg vs Heidenheim: match statistics
Augsburg, as the home team, holds a decisive advantage over Heidenheim, who sit bottom of the away table. The hosts have won 36% of their home matches and have a goal difference of -5, while the visitors have lost a staggering 80% of their away games with a catastrophic goal difference of -14. Heidenheim have failed to keep a single clean sheet away from home and have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per match, which, combined with Augsburg's average of 1.27 goals scored at home, gives the hosts a real chance of victory. Recent form over the last five matches also favors Augsburg (1.6 points per game) compared to Heidenheim's mere 0.2 points. Higher xG values for the hosts (1.4 vs 1.23) and a better conversion rate (10% vs 8%) further support the prediction of an Augsburg win, although the poor defense of both teams could lead to a high-scoring affair.
Augsburg vs Heidenheim: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Augsburg played Heidenheim in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Augsburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Heidenheim: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Augsburg scores 1.14 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. Heidenheim scores 0.90 and concedes 2.24. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Augsburg 57%, Heidenheim 62%. Over 2.5: Augsburg 62%, Heidenheim 71%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Augsburg has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.27. Augsburg: 12.8 shots per match, Heidenheim: 11.8.
Match halves
Augsburg: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.62. Heidenheim: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Augsburg: 46-60 (6 goals). Heidenheim: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Augsburg, as the home team, holds a decisive advantage over Heidenheim, who sit bottom of the away table. The hosts have won 36% of their home matches and have a goal difference of -5, while the visitors have lost a staggering 80% of their away games with a catastrophic goal difference of -14. Heidenheim have failed to keep a single clean sheet away from home and have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per match, which, combined with Augsburg's average of 1.27 goals scored at home, gives the hosts a real chance of victory. Recent form over the last five matches also favors Augsburg (1.6 points per game) compared to Heidenheim's mere 0.2 points. Higher xG values for the hosts (1.4 vs 1.23) and a better conversion rate (10% vs 8%) further support the prediction of an Augsburg win, although the poor defense of both teams could lead to a high-scoring affair.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Augsburg | Heidenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Augsburg is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Augsburg · 0.2 pts / match - Heidenheim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Augsburg is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Augsburg · 0.9 goals / match - Heidenheim
Augsburg is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.86 goals / match - Augsburg · 2.24 goals / match - Heidenheim
Augsburg scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Heidenheim keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 21 matches).
Heidenheim scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Augsburg keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Augsburg
Over / Under - Heidenheim
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Augsburg is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Augsburg · 0.76 pts / match - Heidenheim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Augsburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Heidenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Augsburg
Heidenheim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Augsburg | Liga | Heidenheim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.19 | • 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 62% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 83% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Augsburg 0 - 0 - 1 Heidenheim. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Augsburg vs Heidenheim?
The Bundesliga match finished Augsburg 1:0 Heidenheim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Augsburg vs Heidenheim?
Augsburg score 1.14 goals per game on average and Heidenheim 0.90. The Bundesliga average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Augsburg's matches and 62% of Heidenheim's.
What form are Augsburg and Heidenheim in?
Over the last 5 games Augsburg have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Heidenheim 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Augsburg vs Heidenheim?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Augsburg vs Heidenheim: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.