Augsburg vs Union Berlin: match statistics
Union Berlin appears to be the favorite for this encounter despite playing away. Augsburg is displaying very poor home form with only a 38% win rate and a negative streak in their last five matches (LWLDL). The hosts possess one of the worst scoring records in the league (1.13 goals per home match) and a high average of conceded goals (1.88). Conversely, Union Berlin demonstrates better away efficiency with 43% victories and significantly better form over the last five games (1.4 points per match). The visitors also present a superior goal difference in recent outings (9 goals in 5 matches) and possess a higher xG value, suggesting superior quality in creating chances. Considering Augsburg's defensive frailties and Union Berlin's better disposition, I predict a victory for the guests, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out due to the narrow difference in expected goals values between the two sides.
Augsburg vs Union Berlin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Augsburg played Union Berlin in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 15 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Augsburg: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Union Berlin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Augsburg scores 1.06 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Union Berlin scores 1.38 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Augsburg 50%, Union Berlin 56%. Over 2.5: Augsburg 63%, Union Berlin 63%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Augsburg has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.35. Augsburg: 12.8 shots per match, Union Berlin: 12.5.
Match halves
Augsburg: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.50. Union Berlin: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Augsburg: 76-90+ (4 goals). Union Berlin: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Berlin appears to be the favorite for this encounter despite playing away. Augsburg is displaying very poor home form with only a 38% win rate and a negative streak in their last five matches (LWLDL). The hosts possess one of the worst scoring records in the league (1.13 goals per home match) and a high average of conceded goals (1.88). Conversely, Union Berlin demonstrates better away efficiency with 43% victories and significantly better form over the last five games (1.4 points per match). The visitors also present a superior goal difference in recent outings (9 goals in 5 matches) and possess a higher xG value, suggesting superior quality in creating chances. Considering Augsburg's defensive frailties and Union Berlin's better disposition, I predict a victory for the guests, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out due to the narrow difference in expected goals values between the two sides.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Augsburg | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Union Berlin is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Augsburg · 1.4 pts / match - Union Berlin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Berlin is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Augsburg · 1.38 goals / match - Union Berlin
Union Berlin is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Augsburg · 1.56 goals / match - Union Berlin
Augsburg scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Union Berlin keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Union Berlin scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Augsburg keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Augsburg
Over / Under - Union Berlin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Union Berlin is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Augsburg · 1.31 pts / match - Union Berlin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Augsburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Union Berlin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Augsburg
Union Berlin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Augsburg | Liga | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.06 | 3.27 | ▼ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 64% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 83% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
The Bundesliga match finished Augsburg 1:1 Union Berlin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
Augsburg score 1.06 goals per game on average and Union Berlin 1.38. The Bundesliga average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Augsburg's matches and 56% of Union Berlin's.
What form are Augsburg and Union Berlin in?
Over the last 5 games Augsburg have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Union Berlin 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Augsburg vs Union Berlin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.