Aurora vs Bolívar: match statistics
Aurora vs Bolívar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aurora played Bolívar in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 8 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Félix Capriles. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Aurora: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Bolívar: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aurora scores 1.62 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Bolívar scores 2.15 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aurora 77%, Bolívar 62%. Over 2.5: Aurora 38%, Bolívar 62%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Bolívar has higher xG: 2.05 vs 1.60. Aurora: 14.8 shots per match, Bolívar: 17.9.
Match halves
Aurora: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.00. Bolívar: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.23.
Goals by minute
Aurora: 61-75 (7 goals). Bolívar: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aurora remain unbeaten at home, winning 50% of their matches and drawing the remaining 50%, while averaging 2.33 goals per game on their own turf. The hosts also create significantly more, registering 17.5 shots, including 7 on target, with an xG of 1.91, whereas Bolívar average 1.49 xG away from home and just 1.17 goals scored per match. However, Bolívar are in excellent recent form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 4. Aurora’s advantage may be tempered by the fact that their defence is yet to keep a clean sheet at home and concedes an average of 1.5 goals, although the visitors have failed to score in 33% of their away matches. The hosts’ superiority in chance creation and their stability at home point to a slightly higher probability of an Aurora victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Aurora has a season BTTS rate of 67%, rising to 80% across their last five matches, indicating a consistent combination of effective attacking play and defensive gaps. The hosts score an average of 3.17 goals per match and create 2.60 xG, while in their last five games they conceded 1.6 goals per match despite allowing opponents 1.45 xG. Bolívar are in excellent offensive form, scoring 10 goals in five matches—an average of 2.0 per game—with an average xG of 1.81 over that period. The visitors’ defence remains solid, having conceded only 4 goals in their last five appearances, but Aurora average 11 shots on target and should create enough chances to score. The BTTS pick is also supported by the league average of 66%, although Bolívar’s 33% of matches without scoring reduces confidence in this selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Aurora score an average of 3.17 goals per home game and have failed to score in none of their league matches, while their average xG is a very high 2.60. Bolívar score 1.17 goals on average away from home, but have improved that figure to 2.00 over their last five matches, with an xG of 1.81. At least two goals were scored in 100% of Aurora’s matches and 67% of Bolívar’s, while the league-wide average is as high as 3.02 goals. The recent form of both teams also supports an open game: Aurora’s matches produced 3.2 goals on average, while Bolívar’s games averaged 2.8 goals across their last five appearances. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, as the hosts’ attacking potential and the visitors’ consistent scoring significantly reduce the risk of a 0:0 or 1:0 result.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point, as Aurora were level at the break in 80% of their last five matches, compared with 60% for Bolívar. Over the course of the season, however, Aurora have been very strong offensively, averaging 3.17 goals and creating chances worth 2.60 xG, so scenarios involving a home win still account for a significant share. The better current trend nevertheless favours the visitors: Bolívar have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Aurora have conceded 1.6 goals per game. In the second half, Bolívar have conceded just 0.2 goals per match across their last five appearances and have won that period in 60% of cases, supporting the HT/FT draw/Aurora? No, draw/Bolívar scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aurora | Bolívar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bolívar is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Aurora · 2 pts / match - Bolívar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bolívar is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - Aurora · 2.15 goals / match - Bolívar
Bolívar is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Aurora · 1 goals / match - Bolívar
Aurora scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Bolívar keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
Bolívar scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Aurora keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aurora
Over / Under - Bolívar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bolívar is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Aurora · 1.38 pts / match - Bolívar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aurora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bolívar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aurora
Bolívar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Aurora | Liga | Bolívar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.77 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 65% | ▼ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 62% | • 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 22% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 72% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 86% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- AuroraYellow cardJose Alfredo Amarilla
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aurora 0 - 0 - 2 Bolívar. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aurora vs Bolívar?
The LFPB match finished Aurora 2:4 Bolívar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aurora and Bolívar?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aurora won 0, Bolívar won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aurora vs Bolívar?
Aurora score 1.62 goals per game on average and Bolívar 2.15. The LFPB average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Aurora's matches and 62% of Bolívar's.
What form are Aurora and Bolívar in?
Over the last 5 games Aurora have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Bolívar 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aurora vs Bolívar?
The statistical background for Aurora vs Bolívar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.