Aurora vs Guabirá: match statistics
Aurora vs Guabirá: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aurora played Guabirá in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Aurora: 1-3-0, 1.50 points/match. Guabirá: 0-1-3, 0.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aurora scores 1.25 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Guabirá scores 0.75 and concedes 3.00. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aurora 75%, Guabirá 50%. Over 2.5: Aurora 25%, Guabirá 100%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 69%.
xG, shots and style
Guabirá has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.25. Aurora: 10.8 shots per match, Guabirá: 17.3.
Match halves
Aurora: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. Guabirá: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Aurora: 0-15 (1 goals). Guabirá: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 69%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an Aurora win: at home the hosts are unbeaten (0% losses), with a positive goal difference of +2, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Visitors Guabirá sit 16th and show extremely poor away numbers — 100% away defeats, 0.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded on average per away match, with a 100% rate of matches without scoring. In terms of chance quality Aurora generates xG 1.77 at home and averages 7 shots on target per match with a conversion rate of 13%, while Guabirá away posts xG 1.52, 5.5 shots on target and a 0% conversion rate, and their average xG against is 2.52. Additionally Aurora averages 1.8 points per match over the last 5 games (8 goals in those 5 matches, 2 wins and 3 draws), whereas Guabirá has just 0.4 points per match and scored 3 while conceding 12 in their last 5. Given the superiority in goals (2.0 vs 0.0), better xG and shooting metrics, and the visitors’ overall defensive frailty, I assess the hosts’ probability at 80%, draw 12% and an away upset at 8%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The primary signal against BTTS - Yes is Guabirá's offensive frailty: season away goals average 0.0 and percentage of away matches without scoring is 100%, indicating no consistent goal threat from the visitors. Aurora shows strong offensive metrics — home xG 2.10, on average 19.5 shots and 7.5 shots on target per match — while the opponent has away xG against of 2.52 and a season average of 4.0 goals conceded, so the hosts are expected to score. In the last 5 matches Aurora registered BTTS in 80% of games, whereas Guabirá only in 40%, showing an asymmetry: hosts frequently concede but visitors rarely score. Considering Aurora's 100% season BTTS at home, Guabirá's simultaneous 100% of away matches without a goal, and the league average BTTS of 63% with an average 3.19 goals per match, it is more likely that both teams will not score. Therefore the assessment is 70% for No and 30% for Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates high goal potential: expected xG is 2.31 for Aurora (attack xG 2.10 versus Guabirá’s defense conceding 2.52 xG) and 1.33 for Guabirá (attack xG 1.52 versus Aurora’s defense conceding 1.13 xG), totaling 3.64 expected goals. Aurora averages 19.5 shots and 7.5 on target per match, and Guabirá has conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 per match), supporting a high-scoring scenario. Both teams have season OVER 1.5 and OVER 2.5 rates of 100%, and the league average goals is 3.19, so the probability of OVER 1.5 and OVER 2.5 is significantly increased. The strongest signal is OVER 1.5 (clear edge: 3.64 expected goals and historical 100% OVER 1.5), therefore I recommend betting OVER 1.5 as the safest option. OVER 3.5 has only a small edge (3.64 expected goals, season OVER 3.5 share ≈50% for both), so it is a less certain choice.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Aurora has a clear offensive advantage: xG 2.1 versus Guabirá’s 1.52, an average of 7.5 shots on target versus 5.5, while Guabirá concedes on average 4.0 goals per season against an xG against of 2.52, indicating a weak away defense. In the last 5 matches Aurora led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%) and in those five games they averaged 1.0 goal by half-time, whereas Guabirá averaged 0.2 goals by half-time and conceded 1.2 goals before the break. Guabirá has not won in their last 5 matches (0% wins) and lost 3 of 5 (60%), and seasonally the visitors are virtually goalless (0.0 goals per match and a 0.0 conversion rate), so they have limited chances for a turnaround. Taking this into account, the most likely scenario is Aurora leading at half-time and winning at full-time — I assess the probability of 1/1 at 36%. Alternative scenarios are 1/X (Aurora lead at half-time and draw at full-time) at 14% and X/1 (draw at half-time and Aurora win at full-time) at 16%, reflecting that Aurora draw in 60% of their last 5 matches while also winning 40% of them.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aurora | Guabirá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.12 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aurora is 500% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Aurora · 0.25 pts / match - Guabirá
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aurora is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Aurora · 0.75 goals / match - Guabirá
Aurora is 300% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Aurora · 3 goals / match - Guabirá
Aurora scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Guabirá keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Guabirá scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Aurora keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aurora
Over / Under - Guabirá
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aurora is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Aurora · 0.5 pts / match - Guabirá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aurora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Guabirá - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 0% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aurora
Guabirá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Aurora | Liga | Guabirá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 3.23 | ▲ 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 69% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 20% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 91% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aurora 0 - 0 - 2 Guabirá. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aurora vs Guabirá?
The LFPB match finished Aurora 4:2 Guabirá. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aurora and Guabirá?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aurora won 0, Guabirá won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aurora vs Guabirá?
Aurora score 1.25 goals per game on average and Guabirá 0.75. The LFPB average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Aurora's matches and 50% of Guabirá's.
What form are Aurora and Guabirá in?
Over the last 5 games Aurora have a 1-3-0 record (1.50 points per game) and Guabirá 0-1-3 (0.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aurora vs Guabirá?
The statistical background for Aurora vs Guabirá — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.