Aurora vs Guabirá: match statistics
Aurora vs Guabirá: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aurora play Guabirá in LFPB (Bolivia). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 23:15. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Aurora: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Guabirá: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aurora scores 1.60 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Guabirá scores 1.40 and concedes 2.40. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aurora 70%, Guabirá 60%. Over 2.5: Aurora 40%, Guabirá 100%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Guabirá has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.46. Aurora: 13.4 shots per match, Guabirá: 14.4.
Match halves
Aurora: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00. Guabirá: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Aurora: 61-75 (6 goals). Guabirá: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I back an Aurora win: at home the hosts are unbeaten (0% losses), with a positive goal difference of +2, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Visitors Guabirá sit 16th and show extremely poor away numbers — 100% away defeats, 0.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded on average per away match, with a 100% rate of matches without scoring. In terms of chance quality Aurora generates xG 1.77 at home and averages 7 shots on target per match with a conversion rate of 13%, while Guabirá away posts xG 1.52, 5.5 shots on target and a 0% conversion rate, and their average xG against is 2.52. Additionally Aurora averages 1.8 points per match over the last 5 games (8 goals in those 5 matches, 2 wins and 3 draws), whereas Guabirá has just 0.4 points per match and scored 3 while conceding 12 in their last 5. Given the superiority in goals (2.0 vs 0.0), better xG and shooting metrics, and the visitors’ overall defensive frailty, I assess the hosts’ probability at 80%, draw 12% and an away upset at 8%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aurora | Guabirá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guabirá is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Aurora · 2 pts / match - Guabirá
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aurora is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Aurora · 1.4 goals / match - Guabirá
Aurora is 118% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Aurora · 2.4 goals / match - Guabirá
Aurora scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Guabirá keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
Guabirá scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Aurora keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Aurora
Over / Under — Guabirá
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aurora is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Aurora · 1 pts / match - Guabirá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aurora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Guabirá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aurora
Guabirá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Aurora | Liga | Guabirá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.70 | 3.09 | ▲ 3.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 65% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 21% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aurora 0 - 0 - 2 Guabirá. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aurora vs Guabirá?
The LFPB match finished Aurora 4:2 Guabirá. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aurora and Guabirá?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aurora won 0, Guabirá won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aurora vs Guabirá?
Aurora score 1.60 goals per game on average and Guabirá 1.40. The LFPB average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Aurora's matches and 60% of Guabirá's.
What form are Aurora and Guabirá in?
Over the last 5 games Aurora have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Guabirá 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aurora vs Guabirá?
The statistical background for Aurora vs Guabirá — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.