Aurora vs Nacional Potosí: match statistics
Aurora vs Nacional Potosí: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aurora played Nacional Potosí in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Félix Capriles. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Aurora: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Nacional Potosí: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aurora scores 1.55 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Nacional Potosí scores 1.50 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aurora 65%, Nacional Potosí 55%. Over 2.5: Aurora 50%, Nacional Potosí 60%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Aurora has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.42. Aurora: 14.6 shots per match, Nacional Potosí: 12.8.
Match halves
Aurora: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Nacional Potosí: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Aurora: 61-75 (8 goals). Nacional Potosí: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 3.08 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aurora are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, while Nacional Potosí have won twice and suffered 1 defeat over the same period. Home advantage is clear: the hosts win 44% of their home matches, while the visitors lose 60% of their away games. Aurora average 2.11 goals at home with an xG of 1.77, whereas Nacional score 1.2 goals away from home with an xG of 1.29; the hosts also register more shots on target per match, 6.67 compared with 4.1. Aurora’s defence is not entirely reliable, conceding an average of 1.44 goals at home, but Nacional’s away xG against stands at a high 1.88, pointing to chances for the hosts. With Aurora drawing 44% of their home matches, a share of the points remains possible, but their edge in chance creation and overall match record points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has occurred in 50% of Aurora’s matches and 60% of Nacional Potosí’s, providing a moderate indication that both teams could score. Aurora average 1.8 goals, while Nacional Potosí average 1.2; both teams concede 1.4 goals per match, so each has a realistic chance of finding the net. The case for the hosts to score is particularly supported by their opponents’ average xG against of 1.88, while Aurora’s attacking xG stands at 1.55. However, caution is warranted: Aurora have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches, and Nacional Potosí have conceded an average of just 0.8 goals over their last five games. Even so, the visitors have scored 14 goals in their last five matches, making BTTS - Yes slightly more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in 90% of matches involving both teams, giving Over 1.5 stronger backing than the higher lines. Aurora average 1.8 goals, while Nacional Potosí average 1.2; both teams concede 1.4 goals per match, pointing to a game with several goals. The hosts record an average xG of 1.55, while their opponents allow an xG of 1.88, giving Aurora a solid basis for finding the net. The 2.5 line is less certain: it was surpassed in 60% of each team’s matches this season, but in just 40% of their last 5 matches. With a forecast of 2.95 total goals, Over 1.5 remains the strongest pick, without needing to assume that at least 3 goals will be scored.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is a realistic scenario: Aurora were level at the break in 4 of 10 matches, including 3 of their last 5, while Nacional Potosí kept a clean sheet in the first half in 7 of 10 games. After the break, the advantage shifts towards the home side, who won the second half in 60% of matches, while the visitors lost it in 60%. Over the season as a whole, Aurora won 60% of their matches compared with Nacional's 20%, and their average xG is 1.55 against 1.88 xG conceded by their opponents. However, the X/1 HT/FT pick is not a certainty: the visitors held the lead at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.8 goals per game over that period, increasing the likelihood of alternative outcomes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aurora | Nacional Potosí | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional Potosí is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Aurora · 1.8 pts / match - Nacional Potosí
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aurora scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Nacional Potosí keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Nacional Potosí scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Aurora keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aurora
Over / Under - Nacional Potosí
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional Potosí is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Aurora · 1.55 pts / match - Nacional Potosí
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aurora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nacional Potosí - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aurora
Nacional Potosí
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Aurora | Liga | Nacional Potosí | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.90 | 3.08 | ▼ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Aurora 0 - 0 - 3 Nacional Potosí. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
The LFPB match finished Aurora 2:2 Nacional Potosí. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aurora and Nacional Potosí?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Aurora won 0, Nacional Potosí won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
Aurora score 1.55 goals per game on average and Nacional Potosí 1.50. The LFPB average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Aurora's matches and 55% of Nacional Potosí's.
What form are Aurora and Nacional Potosí in?
Over the last 5 games Aurora have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Nacional Potosí 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.