Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero: match statistics
Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aurora played Oriente Petrolero in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 19 July 2026. Venue: Stadionul Tunari. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Aurora: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Oriente Petrolero: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aurora scores 1.56 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Oriente Petrolero scores 1.22 and concedes 1.44. League average: 3.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aurora 67%, Oriente Petrolero 56%. Over 2.5: Aurora 33%, Oriente Petrolero 56%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Aurora has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.20. Aurora: 12.3 shots per match, Oriente Petrolero: 11.0.
Match halves
Aurora: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.00. Oriente Petrolero: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Aurora: 61-75 (5 goals). Oriente Petrolero: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aurora is the favorite due to a clear statistical advantage: they sit 3rd in the table while Oriente is 13th. At home Aurora averages 2.25 goals per match with an average xG of 1.92, whereas Oriente away averages only 0.5 goals and xG 0.84. The quality of chances created by Aurora is confirmed by the numbers — the home side averages 16.75 shots and 8 on target per home match with 54% possession and 13% conversion rate, while the visitors away average only 8.25 shots, 3 on target and a 6% conversion rate. Defensively Aurora concedes 1.25 goals at home on average (xG against 1.37), whereas Oriente concede 2.0 goals away (xG against 1.71); in the last 5 matches the hosts conceded 6 goals versus 9 for the visitors. Form also favors the hosts: in the last 5 matches Aurora scored 9 goals and collects 2.0 points per match on average, while Oriente has 7 goals in the last 5 and 0.8 points per match and has lost all away fixtures (100% away defeats). Considering the xG advantage (1.92 vs 0.84), Aurora’s 0% rate of matches without scoring versus Oriente’s 50% of away matches without a goal, and the decisive superiority in shots and possession, I estimate the probabilities as: Home win ~75%, Draw 15%, Away win 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Aurora averages 1.8 goals per match with xG 1.49 from 13.2 shots and 5.6 on target, whereas Oriente Petrolero records only 0.5 goals and xG 0.84 from 8.25 shots and 3.0 on target this season. Aurora’s conversion rate is 14% versus Oriente’s 6%. Hosts concede 1.0 goal on average while visitors concede 2.0 (13 goals conceded this season), indicating Aurora has the offensive quality and Oriente is prone to conceding. Additionally, the league shows a high BTTS rate of 66% and an average goals-per-game of 3.11; season BTTS rates are 60% for Aurora and 50% for Oriente. In the last 5 matches Oriente, however, has an 80% BTTS rate and averages 1.4 goals, showing recent scoring form. The counterpoint is that Oriente failed to score in 50% of their season matches, which lowers confidence in the away side finding the net, but the lack of clean sheets for Oriente and their 2.0 average goals conceded increases the likelihood of an Aurora goal. Overall, the stronger weight of league trends and Oriente’s recent form favors BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of 65% versus 35% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.60 xG for Aurora and 0.96 xG for Oriente, totaling 2.56 expected goals. Both teams have a high percentage of matches over 1.5 goals: Aurora 80% and Oriente 75%, while the league average is 3.11 goals per game. Aurora averages 13.2 shots with 5.6 on target, converting at 14% (averaging 1.8 goals), whereas Oriente averages 8.25 shots, 3.0 on target and a 6% conversion (averaging 0.5 goals), giving Aurora the edge in chance creation. In their last 5 matches Oriente has gone over 2.5 in 80% of cases, and both teams scored in 60% (Aurora) and 80% (Oriente) of those games, increasing the risk of goals from both sides. Therefore the strongest data signal is the Over 1.5 (Over) bet, since the high seasonal 80%/75% rates and the 2.56 expected goals clearly favor exceeding 1.5, while Over 2.5 is only moderately supported and Over 3.5 remains unlikely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Aurora is the favorite: they average 1.8 goals per match versus Oriente’s 0.5 and have a higher xG (1.49 vs 0.84); seasonally Aurora has won 60% of matches while Oriente has yet to record a win (0% wins, 100% losses). At half-time the most common state is a draw — Aurora are level at the break in 60% of matches and led only 20%, while the visitors have not led at half-time this season (0%), making a draw the most likely HT scenario. In second halves the hosts have a clear advantage: Aurora scores on average 1.0 goals after the break and 1.6 goals in total in second halves and collects 7 points in those periods (an average of 1.4 points per match), whereas Oriente has 0.0 goals and only 0.25 points after the break (1 point in total), which suggests the hosts more often produce a turnaround after half-time. Additionally Aurora register more shots on target (5.6 vs 3.0) and have better conversion (14% vs 6%), so the most probable scenario is a draw at half-time and an Aurora win at full-time (X/1); I assess the overall probability of an Oriente win low, at around 7%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aurora | Oriente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aurora is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Aurora · 0.8 pts / match - Oriente Petrolero
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aurora is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Aurora · 1.22 goals / match - Oriente Petrolero
Aurora is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Aurora · 1.44 goals / match - Oriente Petrolero
Aurora scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Oriente Petrolero keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Oriente Petrolero scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Aurora keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aurora
Over / Under - Oriente Petrolero
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aurora is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Aurora · 0.89 pts / match - Oriente Petrolero
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aurora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Oriente Petrolero - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aurora
Oriente Petrolero
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Aurora | Liga | Oriente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.56 | 3.12 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 65% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 21% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 88% | • 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aurora 1 - 0 - 1 Oriente Petrolero. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?
The LFPB match finished Aurora 2:2 Oriente Petrolero. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aurora and Oriente Petrolero?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aurora won 1, Oriente Petrolero won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?
Aurora score 1.56 goals per game on average and Oriente Petrolero 1.22. The LFPB average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Aurora's matches and 56% of Oriente Petrolero's.
What form are Aurora and Oriente Petrolero in?
Over the last 5 games Aurora have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Oriente Petrolero 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.