Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II: match statistics
Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Austin II played Colorado Rapids II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 6 July 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Austin II: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Colorado Rapids II: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Austin II scores 2.07 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Colorado Rapids II scores 0.75 and concedes 2.06. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Austin II 47%, Colorado Rapids II 56%. Over 2.5: Austin II 47%, Colorado Rapids II 44%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Austin II has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.35. Austin II: 13.9 shots per match, Colorado Rapids II: 10.6.
Match halves
Austin II: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.07. Colorado Rapids II: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Austin II: 61-75 (8 goals). Colorado Rapids II: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Austin II holds a clear advantage in seasonal data: 11 wins, 3 draws and only 1 loss with 31 goals scored, whereas Colorado Rapids II have 1 win, 4 draws and 11 losses with just 12 goals. In the last 5 matches the hosts have won all 5, scoring 12 and conceding only 2 (avg. 2.4 scored and 0.4 conceded per match), while the visitors in that period have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses with 3 goals scored and 6 conceded (0.6 scored, 1.2 conceded), underscoring the form disparity. At home Austin averages 2.13 goals per match, 4.75 shots on target with a 16% conversion rate, while Colorado away averages 0.57 goals per match, 4.43 shots on target and only 6% conversion plus 57% of away matches without scoring, meaning the hosts create and convert significantly more chances. In terms of chance quality Austin’s home xG is 1.57 with xG against 1.09, while Colorado away have xG for 1.38 and xG against 1.62; the visitors concede on average 2.0 goals away and have no away wins (0%), indicating defensive vulnerability. Considering Austin’s 63% home win rate, Colorado’s 0% away win rate, hosts’ 0% matches without a goal and visitors’ 57% such matches, I expect a convincing home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data are mixed: the league percentage of matches with both teams scoring is 62%, and Austin II has a seasonal BTTS of 67% versus Colorado Rapids II's 43%, which on a seasonal basis slightly favors the "Yes"/BTTS - Yes outcome. However, a strong counterargument is recent form over the last 5 matches: both teams have only 40% BTTS in the last 5 (about 2 of 5). Austin II is on a 'wwwww' run and in those 5 matches has scored 12 goals (avg 2.4) while conceding 2 (0.4), whereas Colorado has scored 3 goals (0.6) and conceded 6. Seasonally Colorado averages 0.57 goals (12 goals in the season) versus Austin's 0.89 (31 goals), which shows a clear home advantage in conversion and goal volume. From a chance-quality perspective xG is similar (xG_for 1.33 vs 1.38), but Austin has a higher shot conversion 8% vs 6% for Rapids II and better recent form, suggesting the visitors struggle to finish chances. On this basis I assign 65% to No Goal (clean sheet expected) and 35% to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model and current form point to an expectation of about 3.10 total goals: xG calculations give 1.48 goals for Austin II (xG_for 1.33 vs xG_against_away 1.62) and 1.62 for Colorado (xG_for 1.38 vs xG_against_home 1.86), but the last 5 matches (Austin: 12 goals, avg 2.4; Colorado: 3 goals, avg 0.6) adjust the forecast to ~1.80 for Austin and ~1.30 for Colorado (total 3.10). Austin II are in form with 5 wins and have conceded only 0.4 goals on average in the last 5 games, and they also show a higher shot conversion rate 8% versus Colorado’s 6%, which increases the likelihood of further home goals. Both teams have strong tendencies for matches over 1.5 goals (Austin 89% of games >1.5, Colorado 100%), and the league averages 3.24 goals per game, reinforcing the signal for Over 1.5. For the 2.5 line the indicators are mixed (Austin 56% of games >2.5, Colorado 29%), and our adjusted total of 3.10 implies a moderate probability of Over 2.5 (~61%), while Over 3.5 I estimate at about 37% and treat as less certain. Therefore I recommend a bet on Over 1.5 as the strongest and most justified signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1: Austin II led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and won all 5 most recent games (100%), indicating a strong home advantage in the first half. Colorado Rapids II have a 0% win rate this season away and were trailing at half-time in 71% of season matches, which weakens their chances of a favorable result before the break. In the last 5 matches Austin II averaged 1.6 goals by half-time versus 0.2 for Rapids II, with comparable xG of 1.33 (Austin) vs 1.38 (Colorado) and better home shooting efficiency 8% vs 6%. Additionally the hosts kept a clean sheet at half-time in 56% of home games vs 29% for Rapids II, and season-long goals-per-game averages are 0.89 for Austin II versus 0.57 for the visitors, all supporting the scenario of taking the lead and holding on to win. On this basis I assess 1/1 as the most likely outcome (48%), while half-time draws (e.g. X/X 10% or X/1 12%) have significantly less numerical support.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Austin II | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Austin II is 200% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Austin II · 1 pts / match - Colorado Rapids II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Austin II is 176% better for: goals scored per match.
2.07 goals / match - Austin II · 0.75 goals / match - Colorado Rapids II
Austin II is 182% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - Austin II · 2.06 goals / match - Colorado Rapids II
Austin II scores in 100% of matches (15 of 15 matches), while Colorado Rapids II keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).
Colorado Rapids II scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Austin II keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Austin II
Over / Under - Colorado Rapids II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Austin II is 105% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.93 pts / match - Austin II · 0.94 pts / match - Colorado Rapids II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Austin II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Colorado Rapids II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 6%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Austin II
Colorado Rapids II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Austin II | Liga | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.80 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 65% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 21% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 84% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Austin II 2 - 0 - 2 Colorado Rapids II. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Austin II 3:2 Colorado Rapids II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Austin II and Colorado Rapids II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Austin II won 2, Colorado Rapids II won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II?
Austin II score 2.07 goals per game on average and Colorado Rapids II 0.75. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Austin II's matches and 56% of Colorado Rapids II's.
What form are Austin II and Colorado Rapids II in?
Over the last 5 games Austin II have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Colorado Rapids II 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.