Austin II vs San Jose Earthquakes II: match statistics

Austin II lead the home standings and have recorded 15 wins against just 2 losses over the course of the season, while San Jose Earthquakes II sit only 19th. The hosts are unbeaten in their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 3 during that run, whereas the visitors have failed to win any of their last five games, scoring only 3 goals. At home, Austin II average 2.25 goals per match with a 17% shot conversion rate, compared with San Jose’s 1.58 goals and 12% conversion rate away from home. The visitors’ defense concedes an average of 1.58 goals and 1.74 xG, while keeping a clean sheet in only 8% of away matches, which favors the hosts, who create an average of 1.63 xG. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as San Jose have drawn 42% of their away matches, but the clear advantage in form, attack and league position points to an Austin II win.

The scenario of both teams scoring is supported by San Jose Earthquakes II’s high seasonal BTTS rate of 83%, while in their last five matches, both teams produced this outcome in 60% of games. Austin II average 2.1 goals at home, while the visitors concede an average of 1.58, giving the hosts excellent conditions to find the net. San Jose have shown weaker recent finishing, scoring just 0.6 goals per game across their last five appearances, but their average xG remains at 1.62, compared with Austin’s 1.23 xG conceded. In addition, Austin keep a clean sheet in only 20% of matches, leaving the visitors with a realistic chance of scoring despite the hosts conceding just 0.9 goals on average. The main risk to the pick is Austin’s low seasonal BTTS rate of 40%; however, the hosts’ attacking advantage and the visitors’ strong BTTS profile provide a slight indication towards "BTTS - Yes".

Austin II scores an average of 2.10 goals per match, while San Jose Earthquakes II concede 1.58, which clearly strengthens the outlook for goals in the home team’s matches. The visitors have kept a clean sheet in only 8% of their games, and at least 2 goals have been scored in 92% of their matches. Austin II are in good form, having scored 11 goals in their last five appearances—an average of 2.2 per match—while their opponents conceded 8 goals over the same period. Even with the visitors’ recent drop in finishing efficiency, their xG across the last five matches stands at 1.59, making Over 1.5 goals the most convincing selection.

Austin II are in clearly better current form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes II have scored just 0.6 goals and allowed 1.6. The hosts were leading at the break in 60% of their last five games, whereas the visitors have not held a half-time lead in any of them and were trailing at half-time in 60% of cases. Across the season, Austin II average 1.2 goals scored before the break and just 0.4 conceded, while San Jose’s away profile shows only 0.75 goals scored in the first half. The hosts’ advantage is also evident after the interval, as their opponents concede an average of 1.17 goals during that period, while Austin II have scored 1.0 goal after half-time in their last five matches. The scenario of Austin II leading at half-time and maintaining their advantage to win the match is therefore the strongest-supported HT/FT outcome, backed by both current form and the teams’ respective attacking and defensive records.