Austin vs Minnesota United: match statistics
Analysis of the last five matches of both teams indicates a balanced situation, although both sides are in poor form. Austin has collected only 3 points (1 win, 4 losses) with a goal difference of 5:11, resulting in a PPG of 0.6. Minnesota United fares even worse with 2 points (2 draws, 3 losses) and a goal difference of 6:10, achieving a PPG of 0.4. The form of both teams is unstable – Austin has lost four of their last five matches, while Minnesota has not won any game in that period. Considering the home advantage and the slightly better points form, I predict a slight advantage for Austin; however, the weakness of both teams in defense and offense makes a draw equally probable. The match could be evenly contested and end in a share of the points.
Austin vs Minnesota United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Austin play Minnesota United in MLS (United States). The match date is 22 February 2026 at 02:30. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Austin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Minnesota United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Austin scores 1.27 and concedes 2.07 goals per match. Minnesota United scores 1.20 and concedes 1.47. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Austin 60%, Minnesota United 53%. Over 2.5: Austin 73%, Minnesota United 53%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Minnesota United has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.21. Austin: 10.5 shots per match, Minnesota United: 13.1.
Match halves
Austin: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.60. Minnesota United: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Austin: 76-90+ (7 goals). Minnesota United: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Analysis of the last five matches of both teams indicates a balanced situation, although both sides are in poor form. Austin has collected only 3 points (1 win, 4 losses) with a goal difference of 5:11, resulting in a PPG of 0.6. Minnesota United fares even worse with 2 points (2 draws, 3 losses) and a goal difference of 6:10, achieving a PPG of 0.4. The form of both teams is unstable – Austin has lost four of their last five matches, while Minnesota has not won any game in that period. Considering the home advantage and the slightly better points form, I predict a slight advantage for Austin; however, the weakness of both teams in defense and offense makes a draw equally probable. The match could be evenly contested and end in a share of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Austin | Minnesota United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Minnesota United is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Austin · 1 pts / match - Minnesota United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Austin is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Austin · 1.2 goals / match - Minnesota United
Minnesota United is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.07 goals / match - Austin · 1.47 goals / match - Minnesota United
Austin scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Minnesota United keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Minnesota United scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Austin keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Austin
Over / Under — Minnesota United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Austin is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Austin · 0.93 pts / match - Minnesota United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Austin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Minnesota United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Austin
Minnesota United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Austin | Liga | Minnesota United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.33 | 3.30 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 62% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 22% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Austin 0 - 1 - 0 Minnesota United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Austin vs Minnesota United?
The MLS match finished Austin 2:2 Minnesota United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Austin vs Minnesota United?
Austin score 1.27 goals per game on average and Minnesota United 1.20. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Austin's matches and 53% of Minnesota United's.
What form are Austin and Minnesota United in?
Over the last 5 games Austin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Minnesota United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Austin vs Minnesota United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Austin vs Minnesota United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.