Austin vs Sporting KC: match statistics
Austin vs Sporting KC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Austin played Sporting KC in MLS (United States). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Austin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Sporting KC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Austin scores 1.38 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Sporting KC scores 0.92 and concedes 2.75. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Austin 62%, Sporting KC 58%. Over 2.5: Austin 69%, Sporting KC 83%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Austin has higher xG: 1.25 vs 0.98. Austin: 10.9 shots per match, Sporting KC: 7.9.
Match halves
Austin: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69. Sporting KC: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Austin: 76-90+ (7 goals). Sporting KC: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Austin is the favorite for this match: at home they average 1.33 goals per game and have an xG of 1.55, while Sporting on the road scores only 0.5 goals and has an xG of 0.79. Defensively the hosts are superior — Austin concedes 0.67 goals per home game on average and has 67% clean sheets, whereas Sporting concedes 3.5 goals away, has xG against of 2.07 and 0% clean sheets. There is a large difference in chance creation: the home side averages 13.33 shots and 5.17 on target per game, while the visitors only 6.5 and 2.0, with Sporting failing to score in 67% of away matches. In the last 5 matches Austin scored 7 and conceded 12 (1.4 pts per game), and Sporting scored 4 and conceded 16 (0.8 pts per game), which further highlights the visitors’ poor form. Considering the hosts’ advantage in xG, number of shots on target and the opponent’s markedly weaker defense, I tip an Austin win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates a higher probability that both teams will NOT score (No BTTS), because Sporting KC averages only 0.5 goals per away match, attempts 6.5 shots with 2.0 on target and has a shooting accuracy of 8%, which severely limits their offensive potential. Austin at home scores 1.33 goals on average, has xG 1.18 and 4.67 shots on target, so the hosts should find the net, but they concede 2.0 goals seasonally and 2.4 in the last 5 matches, indicating open play. Key conflict of signals: season-long BTTS rate is 83% for Austin versus 33% for Sporting away, while in the last 5 matches both teams have 40% BTTS, which weakens Austin’s seasonal advantage. Additionally, neither side has recorded a clean sheet this season (0% clean sheets), and league average goals is 3.28, so the match may see goals but not necessarily from both teams. Considering Sporting’s poor away scoring ability (0.5 goals and 2.0 shots on target) and Austin’s superiority in chance creation, I assign 60% to 'No' and 40% to 'Yes' as the most justified pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculating xG as the average between a team’s xG for and the opponent’s xG against yields (1.18 + 2.07)/2 = 1.63 xG for Austin and (0.79 + 1.90)/2 = 1.34 xG for Sporting KC, totalling 2.97 expected goals. Season data support a propensity for high-scoring outcomes: Austin scores 1.33 and concedes 2.0 on average, Sporting KC scores 0.5 and concedes 3.5; Over 2.5 rates are 67% for Austin and 100% for Sporting KC. In the last 5 matches Austin has scored 7 and conceded 12, Sporting KC has scored 4 and conceded 16, and Over 2.5 percentages in the last five are 60% and 80% respectively, further backing a three-goal-plus scenario. Sporting KC’s low conversion (8%) and only 2.0 shots on target suggest some of the visitors’ xG may go unconverted, while Austin’s 14% conversion and 4.67 shots on target increase their realistic goal prospects. Overall the most convincing line is Over 2.5 — combined xG 2.97, high seasonal Over 2.5 rates and both teams’ defensive forms favour Over 2.5 (estimated probability ~74%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict Austin will lead at the break and win at full-time (1/1) — this is the strongest signal from the data. The hosts have an average xG of 1.18 versus Sporting KC’s 0.79 and register 4.67 shots on target per game compared to the opponents’ 2.0, indicating superior chance creation. Austin averages 0.83 goals by half-time versus Sporting KC’s 0.17, and in 3 of their last 5 matches (60%) they led at the break, so a half-time lead for the hosts is likely. Additionally, Sporting KC scores only 0.5 goals per game and concedes an average of 3.5, while Austin’s shot conversion is 14% versus the opponent’s 8% and they have more shots overall (9.33 vs 6.5), which increases the probability of maintaining the lead after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Austin | Sporting KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Austin is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Austin · 0.8 pts / match - Sporting KC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Austin is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Austin · 0.92 goals / match - Sporting KC
Austin is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Austin · 2.75 goals / match - Sporting KC
Austin scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Sporting KC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 matches).
Sporting KC scores in 58% of matches (7 of 12 matches), while Austin keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Austin
Over / Under - Sporting KC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Austin is 95% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Austin · 0.75 pts / match - Sporting KC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Austin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting KC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Austin
Sporting KC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Austin | Liga | Sporting KC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 3.25 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 61% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Austin vs Sporting KC?
The MLS match finished Austin 1:2 Sporting KC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Austin vs Sporting KC?
Austin score 1.38 goals per game on average and Sporting KC 0.92. The MLS average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Austin's matches and 58% of Sporting KC's.
What form are Austin and Sporting KC in?
Over the last 5 games Austin have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sporting KC 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Austin vs Sporting KC?
The statistical background for Austin vs Sporting KC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.