Austin vs St. Louis City: match statistics
Austin vs St. Louis City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Austin played St. Louis City in MLS (United States). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Austin: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. St. Louis City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Austin scores 1.40 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. St. Louis City scores 1.00 and concedes 1.78. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Austin 70%, St. Louis City 67%. Over 2.5: Austin 70%, St. Louis City 33%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
St. Louis City has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.22. Austin: 10.5 shots per match, St. Louis City: 14.0.
Match halves
Austin: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60. St. Louis City: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Austin: 76-90+ (5 goals). St. Louis City: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Austin has a clear home advantage: at home they average 1.2 goals per match with an xG of 1.52, while St. Louis City average only 0.6 goals away with an xG of 1.33. Defensively the hosts perform better — Austin concedes 0.8 goals at home on average and keep a clean sheet in 60% of home matches, whereas the visitors concede 2.0 goals on average away and have no clean sheets on the road. In chance creation Austin register 5 on-target shots and 12.8 shots per match with a 9% conversion rate, while St. Louis average 3.2 on-target shots and 12 shots per match with only a 5% conversion, indicating higher efficiency for the hosts. On the other hand St. Louis have scored 10 goals in their last five matches versus Austin’s 8 and have a better recent points return (1.4 points per match over the last 5 vs 0.8 for Austin), so the visitors can be dangerous in attack. Taking into account superior xG, a higher volume of chances and Austin’s 60% home clean sheet rate, I project a home win — approximately 65% for Austin, 20% draw and 15% for a St. Louis win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Dominant indicators point to a Both Teams To Score scenario: Austin has a seasonal BTTS 75%, St. Louis 60%, versus a league average BTTS 57%, and both teams have BTTS 80% in their last 5 matches. The absence of clean sheets 0% for both home and away amplifies this signal — neither Austin nor St. Louis has kept a clean sheet this season. xG and chance creation also favor goals from both sides: Austin has xG_for 1.97 and xG_against 1.01, St. Louis has xG_for 1.33 and xG_against 1.49, meaning both sides generate expected chances around or above 1.0. Shooting stats confirm Austin’s edge (6.75 on-target and 16.5 shots per match) versus St. Louis (3.2 on-target and 12.0 shots), and with season goal averages 1.5 (Austin) and 0.6 (St. Louis) and St. Louis averaging 2.0 in the last 5 matches, this increases the likelihood both teams will score. Considering seasonal BTTS 75%/60%, clean sheets 0%/0% and recent 80% form, I back BTTS "Yes" with a probability of 80% versus 20% for "No".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG- and stats-based model estimates combined xG around 2.90 (Austin 1.73 vs St. Louis 1.17), which implies more than 1.5 goals in the match. Additionally, Austin averages 1.97 xG and 6.75 shots on target per game with a 9% conversion rate, while St. Louis posts 1.33 xG and 3.2 shots on target with a 5% conversion, indicating a home attacking advantage and potential for at least two goals. Historically both teams show high goal rates: season Over1.5 is 75% for Austin and 100% for St. Louis, and in the last 5 matches both sides recorded Over2.5 in 80% of fixtures, further increasing the likelihood of over 1.5 goals. Still, the total xG of 2.90 is below a 3.5 threshold, so Over3.5 would be rated lower (~28%), whereas the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is Over1.5. I recommend backing Over 1.5 with expected goals 1.73 for Austin and 1.17 for St. Louis (total 2.90).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1: Austin led at the break in 25% of their home matches this season, and in the last five games they were leading at half-time in 60% of cases; they average 0.5 goals by the break. St. Louis City have not scored by half-time this season (0.0 on average) and have led after the first 45 minutes in 0% of matches, which significantly reduces their chance of having the lead at the break. Across the full match Austin’s home season average is 1.5 goals versus 0.6 for St. Louis, alongside higher xG (1.97 vs 1.33) and more shots on target (6.75 vs 3.2), indicating a clear superiority in chance creation. The hosts also score after the break — they have netted 3 goals in minutes 46–60, while the visitors conceded 4 in that interval — therefore an Austin lead at half-time has a high probability of being maintained to full-time. Although draws at half-time occur frequently (50% for Austin, 60% for St. Louis), the weight of xG, shots on target and second-half goals makes 1/1 the strongest signal; the distribution also includes alternatives X/1 and X/X, but they are less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Austin | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Austin is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Austin · 1 goals / match - St. Louis City
St. Louis City is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.9 goals / match - Austin · 1.78 goals / match - St. Louis City
Austin scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while St. Louis City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
St. Louis City scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Austin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Austin
Over / Under - St. Louis City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Austin is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Austin · 0.89 pts / match - St. Louis City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Austin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
St. Louis City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Austin
St. Louis City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Austin | Liga | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.30 | 3.19 | ▼ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 61% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Austin vs St. Louis City?
The MLS match finished Austin 2:0 St. Louis City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Austin vs St. Louis City?
Austin score 1.40 goals per game on average and St. Louis City 1.00. The MLS average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Austin's matches and 67% of St. Louis City's.
What form are Austin and St. Louis City in?
Over the last 5 games Austin have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and St. Louis City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Austin vs St. Louis City?
The statistical background for Austin vs St. Louis City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.