Austria Salzburg vs Kapfenberger SV: match statistics
Austria Salzburg vs Kapfenberger SV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Austria Salzburg played Kapfenberger SV in 2. Liga (Austria). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Austria Salzburg: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Kapfenberger SV: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Austria Salzburg scores 1.24 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Kapfenberger SV scores 1.16 and concedes 1.76. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Austria Salzburg 56%, Kapfenberger SV 60%. Over 2.5: Austria Salzburg 52%, Kapfenberger SV 60%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Kapfenberger SV has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.19. Austria Salzburg: 9.4 shots per match, Kapfenberger SV: 9.9.
Match halves
Austria Salzburg: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.68. Kapfenberger SV: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Austria Salzburg: 76-90+ (9 goals). Kapfenberger SV: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Liga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Austria Salzburg holds a clear advantage in quality of chances: at home they average 1.58 goals per game, register 3.75 shots on target and have a 16% conversion rate, while Kapfenberger average 0.92 goals, 2.15 shots on target and an 11% conversion rate on the road. Defensively the hosts also perform better — Austria concedes 1.25 goals at home on average and has 33% clean sheets, whereas the visitors concede 2.15 goals away and keep a clean sheet in only 8% of matches. Short-term form favors the visitors: Salzburg haven’t won in their last 5 matches (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss) and have 0.8 pts/game in that period, while Kapfenberger have 2 wins and 1.4 pts/game in their last 5; nonetheless the visitors’ poor season-long defence (44 goals conceded) is the biggest concern. The xG gap also favors the hosts: average xG for Salzburg at home is 1.26 versus 1.04 xG for Kapfenberger away, and combined with the higher 3.75 shots on target versus 2.15 this shows Salzburg creates more valuable chances. Considering superior attacking efficiency and the visitors’ much weaker away defence, I forecast a home win; probability distribution: 60% home win, 25% draw, 15% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The 'BTTS - Yes' scenario is more likely, as both teams register high seasonal BTTS rates: Austria Salzburg 58% and Kapfenberger 62%, versus the league average of 52%. Defensively Salzburg concedes 1.33 goals per game and Kapfenberger 2.15; xG against are 1.81 (Salzburg) and 1.75 (Kapfenberger), indicating both sides allow a considerable number of opponent chances. Offensively Salzburg scores 1.42 goals per game with xG 1.37 and 4.75 shots on target, making them favorites to find the net; Kapfenberger averages 0.92 goals, xG 1.04 and 2.15 shots on target, but despite lower figures posts a 62% BTTS and can score. Short-term signals are mixed — Salzburg had BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, Kapfenberger in 40% — however the low clean sheet rates (Salzburg 17%, Kapfenberger 8%) further support expecting both teams to score. Considering these numbers (BTTS 58%/62%, clean sheets 17%/8%, goals conceded 1.33/2.15 and xG against 1.81/1.75), I assign a 70% probability to BTTS 'Yes' and 30% to 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Austria Salzburg averages 1.42 goals per match with xG 1.37 and 11.25 shots (4.75 on target, conversion 13%), while Kapfenberger SV has 0.92 goals this season with xG 1.04 and 8.69 shots (2.15 on target, conversion 11%). Averaging xG and an estimate from conversion yields expected 1.42 goals for the home side and 1.00 for the visitors, totaling 2.42 goals. A Poisson model with lambda=2.42 gives probabilities of roughly 69% for Over 1.5, 43% for Over 2.5 and 22% for Over 3.5. Seasonal indicators further support Over: Salzburg has 83% of matches over 1.5 goals, Kapfenberger 77%, and BTTS rates are 58% and 62% respectively, suggesting both teams score. Based on this data, the strongest signal is the Over 1.5 market — highest aggregate probability (69%) and confirmation from xG, shots and seasonal rates of 83%/77%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Austria Salzburg shows superior metrics: they average 1.42 goals per match versus 0.92 for Kapfenberger, have an xG of 1.37 vs 1.04 and 1.5 points per match compared to 0.77 for the opponents, indicating a meaningful home advantage. At half-time Salzburg averages 0.42 goals scored and concedes 0.67, while Kapfenberger records 0.23 scored and 1.38 conceded by the break; additionally Salzburg is level at the break in 50% of matches versus 31% for the visitors, suggesting a draw is the most common state after 45 minutes. After the break the hosts are more active — Salzburg scores on average 1.00 goal in the second half versus 0.69 for Kapfenberger and registers 4.75 shots on target per match vs 2.15 for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of a decisive goal after the break. Kapfenberger also concedes a lot in minutes 0–15 (6 conceded vs 1 for Salzburg), revealing the visitors’ vulnerability to early goals; therefore the strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a Salzburg win at full-time (X/1). I assigned that scenario the highest weight (28%), while 1/1 and 2/2 are treated as secondary alternatives (12% and 23% respectively).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Austria Salzburg | Kapfenberger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kapfenberger SV is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Austria Salzburg · 1.4 pts / match - Kapfenberger SV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Austria Salzburg is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Austria Salzburg · 1.16 goals / match - Kapfenberger SV
Austria Salzburg is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Austria Salzburg · 1.76 goals / match - Kapfenberger SV
Austria Salzburg scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Kapfenberger SV keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).
Kapfenberger SV scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Austria Salzburg keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Austria Salzburg
Over / Under - Kapfenberger SV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Austria Salzburg is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Austria Salzburg · 0.88 pts / match - Kapfenberger SV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Austria Salzburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kapfenberger SV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Austria Salzburg
Kapfenberger SV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Austria Salzburg | Liga | Kapfenberger SV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.64 | 2.69 | ▲ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 52% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 28% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Austria Salzburg 0 - 0 - 1 Kapfenberger SV. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Austria Salzburg vs Kapfenberger SV?
The 2. Liga match finished Austria Salzburg 1:0 Kapfenberger SV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Austria Salzburg vs Kapfenberger SV?
Austria Salzburg score 1.24 goals per game on average and Kapfenberger SV 1.16. The 2. Liga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Austria Salzburg's matches and 60% of Kapfenberger SV's.
What form are Austria Salzburg and Kapfenberger SV in?
Over the last 5 games Austria Salzburg have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Kapfenberger SV 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Austria Salzburg vs Kapfenberger SV?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.