Austria Wien vs Austria Lustenau: match statistics

Austria Wien sit 12th and have won just 1 of their 5 matches so far. They have also suffered two defeats in two home games, failing to score a single goal. At home, the hosts create only 0.88 xG per match and average 6 shots, with just 2 on target, while Austria Lustenau generate 1.69 xG and 16 attempts per game away from home. The visitors are higher in the table and have a better record over the last five rounds — 2 wins and 7 points compared with Austria Wien’s 1 victory and 4 points — while scoring 10 goals to their opponents’ 7 during that period. Lustenau’s defence is not entirely reliable either, conceding an average of 1.5 goals away from home and failing to keep a clean sheet, so a draw remains a realistic outcome. However, the visitors’ superiority in the quality of chances created and the hosts’ complete lack of attacking efficiency at home point towards an Austria Lustenau win.

Seasonal data clearly point toward goals at both ends: BTTS occurred in 67% of Austria Vienna’s matches and in all of Austria Lustenau’s games. Neither team has kept a clean sheet yet, while they concede an average of 2.0 and 1.5 goals per match, respectively. The visitors have been particularly convincing in attack across their last five appearances, scoring 2.0 goals per game with an xG of 1.76, while the hosts have allowed opponents to score an average of 1.4 goals. Austria Vienna’s current BTTS rate is weaker at 20% over their last five matches, but they have still averaged 1.4 goals, while Lustenau’s defence has conceded 2.0 goals per game during this period. The combination of both teams’ high seasonal xG figures, 1.49 and 1.69, and the absence of clean sheets makes a goal from each side more likely than BTTS No.

Both teams have gone over 1.5 goals in 100% of their league matches so far, and neither has kept a clean sheet. Austria Wien concede an average of 2.0 goals per match, while Austria Lustenau concede 1.5, significantly increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. The visitors create more chances: their average xG stands at 1.69 compared with 1.49 for the hosts, and they also average 16 shots and 4.5 shots on target per match. In Lustenau’s last five matches, an average of 4.0 total goals were scored per game, with 80% of those fixtures producing at least three goals. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, as the combination of vulnerable defences and consistent chance creation provides significantly greater security than higher lines.

The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by an Austria Lustenau victory at the final whistle, as the visitors have averaged 2.0 goals over their last five matches, compared with 1.4 for Austria Wien. Austria Wien were level at the break in 40% of their recent games, and both teams have identical first-half goal records over this period, pointing to an even opening. After the break, the hosts have averaged no goals in the season data, while Lustenau have scored 0.5, with both teams conceding an average of 1.0 goal. The visitors also create slightly more chances: their average xG is 1.69 with 4.5 shots on target per match, while Austria Wien allow opponents an xG of 1.89. Although the hosts have home advantage and average 1.33 points per match compared with the visitors’ 0.5, Lustenau’s current form is better, as they are earning 1.4 points per game against Vienna’s 0.8.