Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz: match statistics
As the league leaders, Sturm Graz display significantly better away form with a 64% win rate and an impressive goal difference (+9) in away matches. Despite Austria Wien's decent form over their last five games (10 points), they struggle at their home stadium - only a 45% home win rate and a negative goal difference (-1). The visitors score an average of 1.91 goals away while conceding just 1.09, whereas the hosts concede an average of 1.36 goals at home. Sturm Graz also have better xG metrics (1.7 to 1.53) and a higher shooting conversion rate (13% vs 10%). The difference in quality between the league leaders and the fourth-placed team speaks in favor of the visitors, although Austria Wien could put up a fight on their home turf.
Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Austria Wien played Sturm Graz in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 2:5.
Current form
Austria Wien: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Sturm Graz: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Austria Wien scores 1.55 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Sturm Graz scores 1.50 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Austria Wien 59%, Sturm Graz 50%. Over 2.5: Austria Wien 64%, Sturm Graz 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Sturm Graz has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.44. Austria Wien: 12.1 shots per match, Sturm Graz: 14.8.
Match halves
Austria Wien: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.82. Sturm Graz: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Austria Wien: 46-60 (8 goals). Sturm Graz: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the league leaders, Sturm Graz display significantly better away form with a 64% win rate and an impressive goal difference (+9) in away matches. Despite Austria Wien's decent form over their last five games (10 points), they struggle at their home stadium - only a 45% home win rate and a negative goal difference (-1). The visitors score an average of 1.91 goals away while conceding just 1.09, whereas the hosts concede an average of 1.36 goals at home. Sturm Graz also have better xG metrics (1.7 to 1.53) and a higher shooting conversion rate (13% vs 10%). The difference in quality between the league leaders and the fourth-placed team speaks in favor of the visitors, although Austria Wien could put up a fight on their home turf.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Austria Wien | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sturm Graz is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Austria Wien · 1.18 goals / match - Sturm Graz
Austria Wien scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
Sturm Graz scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Austria Wien keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Austria Wien
Over / Under - Sturm Graz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sturm Graz is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Austria Wien · 1.5 pts / match - Sturm Graz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Austria Wien - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Austria Wien
Sturm Graz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Austria Wien | Liga | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.91 | 2.61 | • 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 74% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Austria Wien 2 - 0 - 0 Sturm Graz. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz?
The Bundesliga match finished Austria Wien 2:5 Sturm Graz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Austria Wien and Sturm Graz?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Austria Wien won 2, Sturm Graz won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz?
Austria Wien score 1.55 goals per game on average and Sturm Graz 1.50. The Bundesliga average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Austria Wien's matches and 50% of Sturm Graz's.
What form are Austria Wien and Sturm Graz in?
Over the last 5 games Austria Wien have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sturm Graz 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.