Auxerre vs Nice: match statistics
Auxerre vs Nice: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Auxerre played Nice in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Auxerre: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Nice: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Auxerre scores 0.94 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. Nice scores 1.13 and concedes 1.81. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Auxerre 41%, Nice 59%. Over 2.5: Auxerre 44%, Nice 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Nice has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.21. Auxerre: 10.8 shots per match, Nice: 10.9.
Match halves
Auxerre: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.47. Nice: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Auxerre: 61-75 (7 goals). Nice: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Auxerre to win (1): the hosts have a stronger home defence — conceding 1.00 goal per game at home, xG against 1.25 and 44% clean sheets, whereas Nice concede 1.94 goals away, xG against 1.80 and only 13% clean sheets. In attack the differences are marginal: Auxerre score 1.00 goal at home with an xG of 1.30 and 3.75 shots on target, while Nice have 1.06 goals away with xG 1.12 and 3.38 shots on target, with conversion 9% versus Nice’s 11%. In the last 5 matches Auxerre have scored 8 and conceded 7 (form 1-3-1, PPG 1.2), and Nice 5 scored and 3 conceded (form 1-4-0, PPG 1.4), indicating Nice are more prone to draws. Although Auxerre failed to score in 50% of home games (which may limit the number of goals), the hosts’ defensive edge against Nice’s away vulnerability leads me to choose the home side.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors BTTS - Yes: seasonal BTTS rates are 56% for Auxerre and 63% for Nice (avg ~60%), with recent 5-game values at 80% and 60%. Both teams regularly score and concede — Auxerre 1.19 scored and 1.69 conceded, Nice 1.06 scored and 1.94 conceded — xG confirms this picture (xG for 1.33 vs 1.12, xG against 1.57 vs 1.80), meaning both sides create and allow chances. Auxerre generates noticeably more opportunities (avg 12.44 shots and 4.38 on target vs Nice 9.44 and 3.38) with conversion rates of 10% and 11%, giving realistic chances for goals from both sides. Although Nice conceded only 0.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches, this is an outlier compared to the season average of 1.94 and xG against 1.80; additionally clean sheets are only 19% and 13%, reducing the likelihood of a 0-0. Overall this yields a stronger signal for Both Teams To Score — I estimate probability 72% for 'yes' and 28% for 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model combines both teams' xG: Auxerre has xG_for 1.33 while Nice concedes xG_against 1.80, yielding roughly 1.57 expected goals for the home side; Nice has xG_for 1.12 against Auxerre xG_against 1.57, giving the visitors about 1.35, total ~2.92 goals. Over the season Auxerre averages 1.19 scored and 1.69 conceded (total 2.88), Nice scores 1.06 and concedes 1.94 (total 3.00); both figures are slightly above the league average of 2.84. The percentage of matches over 1.5 goals is 75% for Auxerre and 81% for Nice, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (I estimate ~80%). Season Over 2.5 rates are 44%/56% for home/away, but xG_total 2.92 and the share of matches with both teams scoring 56%/63% point to a moderate probability for Over 2.5 (~62%). I treat Over 3.5 as less likely: although season Over 3.5 sits at ~44% for both sides, individual games with >3 goals by one team are rare (0% and 6%), hence Over 3.5 ~35%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X). In the last 5 matches Auxerre recorded 3 draws (60%), Nice 4 draws (80%), and the percentage of half-time draws in those 5 games was 60% and 80% respectively, which strongly favors a draw at the break. Auxerre nevertheless holds a moderate advantage in chance creation: xG 1.33 versus 1.12 for Nice and 4.38 shots on target versus 3.38, and in minutes 46–60 the home side scored 5 goals versus 2 for the visitors, giving them a real opportunity to improve the result after the break. Additionally, second-half goals average 1.56 for Auxerre vs 1.44 for Nice, and the hosts earn on average 1.38 points in the second half compared to 0.75 for the visitors, so variants with a home win carry significant weight. Nice perform poorly away (an average 0.75 points and 63% defeats), making an away win the least probable final outcome; the model gives X/X 32%, 1/1 18% and X/1 16% as the three strongest scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Auxerre | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Auxerre is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Auxerre · 0.8 pts / match - Nice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nice is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Auxerre · 1.13 goals / match - Nice
Auxerre is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.34 goals / match - Auxerre · 1.81 goals / match - Nice
Auxerre scores in 50% of matches (16 of 32 matches), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
Nice scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Auxerre keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Auxerre
Over / Under - Nice
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Auxerre - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Auxerre
Nice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Auxerre | Liga | Nice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.28 | 2.84 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 78% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Auxerre 0 - 0 - 1 Nice. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Auxerre vs Nice?
The Ligue 1 match finished Auxerre 2:1 Nice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Auxerre vs Nice?
Auxerre score 0.94 goals per game on average and Nice 1.13. The Ligue 1 average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Auxerre's matches and 59% of Nice's.
What form are Auxerre and Nice in?
Over the last 5 games Auxerre have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Nice 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Auxerre vs Nice?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Auxerre vs Nice: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.