Avaí vs Ceará: match statistics
Avaí vs Ceará: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Avaí played Ceará in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Avaí: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Ceará: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Avaí scores 1.00 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Ceará scores 1.10 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Avaí 50%, Ceará 57%. Over 2.5: Avaí 47%, Ceará 40%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Ceará has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.20. Avaí: 11.5 shots per match, Ceará: 13.8.
Match halves
Avaí: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Ceará: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Avaí: 76-90+ (11 goals). Ceará: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Avaí have failed to win any of their last 5 matches, scoring just 3 goals and conceding 10, while Ceará have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. However, the visitors’ superior form has not translated into strong away results: they have won only 13% of such matches and drawn 40%. At home, Avaí average 1.07 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ceará average 0.93 goals scored and 1.47 conceded away from home. The quality of chances created is similar, with average xG of 1.43 for Avaí at home and 1.38 for Ceará away, pointing to no decisive advantage for either side. The hosts’ recent defensive struggles boost the visitors’ chances, but Ceará’s poor away record makes a draw the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 60% of Avaí’s matches and 53% of Ceará’s, rising to 60% and 100%, respectively, over their last five games. Ceará have averaged 1.6 goals recently, while Avaí have conceded 2.0, boosting the visitors’ chances of scoring. The hosts have managed just 0.6 goals per match during this period, but Ceará have conceded 1.4 goals, with an average xG conceded of 1.59. The main risk to this pick is that Ceará have failed to score in 40% of their away matches; however, their recent run of five games in which both teams scored tips the balance in favour of BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 87% of matches for both Avaí at home and Ceará away. Avaí averaged 1.27 goals at home, while Ceará averaged 0.93 away, limiting the forecast despite average xG figures of 1.66 and 1.38, respectively. The last five matches call for caution: Ceará scored 1.6 goals per game in that span, while Avaí conceded 2.0, making the risk of a higher-scoring game greater than the season data alone suggests. At the same time, Over 2.5 goals landed in 53% of Avaí’s home matches but only 27% of Ceará’s away matches, so this line offers a less clear edge. The projected total of 2.48 goals accounts for both signals, and Under 3.5 goals remains the most justified pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Ceará win: Avaí were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors had not led at half-time in any of their last 5. Ceará could gain the advantage in the second half—in their last 5 matches, they won the second half 4 times and scored an average of 1.4 goals after the break, while Avaí failed to score a single second-half goal. Recent results also favor the visitors: they earned 8 points from 5 matches, while the hosts managed only 1 point and lost 4 games. This remains a risky pick, as Avaí won 47% of matches over the full period analyzed compared with 13% for Ceará; however, the clear gap in current form and second-half performance supports the X/2 selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Avaí | Ceará | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ceará is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Avaí · 1.6 pts / match - Ceará
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ceará is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Avaí · 1.1 goals / match - Ceará
Ceará is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Avaí · 1.3 goals / match - Ceará
Avaí scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Ceará scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Avaí keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Avaí
Over / Under - Ceará
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Avaí is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Avaí · 0.87 pts / match - Ceará
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Avaí - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ceará - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Avaí
Ceará
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Avaí | Liga | Ceará | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.37 | 2.35 | • 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 44% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 67% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Avaí 0 - 0 - 1 Ceará. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Avaí vs Ceará?
The Serie B match finished Avaí 0:1 Ceará. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Avaí vs Ceará?
Avaí score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ceará 1.10. The Serie B average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Avaí's matches and 57% of Ceará's.
What form are Avaí and Ceará in?
Over the last 5 games Avaí have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Ceará 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avaí vs Ceará?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.