Avaí vs Ponte Preta: match statistics
Avaí vs Ponte Preta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Avaí played Ponte Preta in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Avaí: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match. Ponte Preta: 0-1-3, 0.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Avaí scores 1.25 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Ponte Preta scores 0.50 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Avaí 25%, Ponte Preta 50%. Over 2.5: Avaí 25%, Ponte Preta 25%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Avaí has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.25. Avaí: 15.0 shots per match, Ponte Preta: 10.0.
Match halves
Avaí: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Ponte Preta: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Avaí: 76-90+ (2 goals). Ponte Preta: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.14 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Avaí is top of the table (position 1) and has scored 9 goals in the last five matches, with a run of 3 wins and 2 draws and an average of 2.2 points per game in that period; at home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. Ponte Preta sit 19th, have scored only 2 goals in the last five matches, have 0 away wins (0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses) and average 0.5 goals scored per away match while conceding 1.5 on average away. In chance quality Avaí averages 14.5 shots and 4.5 on target at home with xG 1.58, whereas Ponte Preta away averages 7 shots and 3.5 on target with xG 0.94, so the hosts generate 0.64 more xG. Defensively the hosts are superior: Avaí concedes 0.0 goals at home on average and has xG against 0.85 and 100% clean sheets in home matches, while Ponte Preta have xG against 2.19 away and have not kept a clean sheet yet. Based on this I predict a home win; I assess the probability of an Avaí victory at 75%, a draw at 15% and a Ponte Preta win at 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'no' (both teams not to score) because Ponte Preta have a very poor attack: in the last 5 matches they’ve averaged 0.4 goals (2 goals in 5 matches), and seasonally away only 0.5 goals per game. Avaí are stronger offensively — 1.8 goals average in the last 5 (9 goals) and xG_for 1.56, so the home side will most likely score at least once. Ponte Preta have xG_for 0.94 with xG_against 2.19, averaging 7 shots and 3.5 on target per match and 5 goals conceded this season, indicating few created chances and poor finishing. Additionally both teams have season BTTS rates of 50% and 40% in the last 5, while the league records 60% clean sheets and 53% BTTS, which together shifts the balance toward No Goal. Based on this I estimate BTTS probability at 40% for 'yes' and 60% for 'no' and recommend the 'no' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based projection indicates a total goal estimate of approximately 3.11: Avaí has xG_for 1.56, while Ponte Preta concedes on average xG 2.19 per match, which averages to ~1.88 expected goals for the home side; Ponte Preta has xG_for 0.94 versus 1.53 xG conceded by Avaí, yielding ~1.23 for the away team. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Avaí scored 9 goals (1.8 per match) and averages 13 shots with 5 on target, whereas Ponte Preta has only 2 goals in the last 5 (0.4 per match) and averages 7 shots, confirming the home side's offensive superiority. Season-long indicators are mixed: the season average goals per match for both teams is 0.5, but both sides have 100% of matches with at least 1 goal and 50% of matches with both teams scoring; Avaí has 0% of season matches over 2.5, while Ponte Preta has 50%, yet in the last 5 matches Avaí has 40% of games over 2.5. Against the league average of 2.15 goals, the projected 3.11 is significantly higher, so I estimate the probability of over 1.5 at 88% (under 12%), over 2.5 at 68% (under 32%) and over 3.5 at 36% (under 64%). I recommend betting the over on the 1.5 line as the safest signal, because the expected 1.88 goals for the home team, 1.23 for the away team, plus Avaí’s superiority in shots and form indicate a high likelihood of at least 2 goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most likely outcome is a draw: in the last 5 matches Avaí were level at the break in 3 of 5 (60%), similarly Ponte Preta had 3 of 5 half-time draws (60%), and the season-long shares of half-time draws for both teams are 50% each. After the break I expect the home side to have the advantage, because Avaí have averaged 1.0 goals after the break in their last 5 matches and a second-half average of 1.6, while Ponte score only 0.2 goals after the break and have a second-half average of 0.8. This is supported by xG and shot metrics: Avaí generate 1.56 xG at home with an average of 13 shots and 5 on target, whereas Ponte have 0.94 xG away with 7 shots and 3.5 on target and concede on average 2.19 xG on the road. Additionally form shows a home advantage — Avaí won 3 of their last 5 matches (60%) versus Ponte with 0 wins in those five (0%) — hence the half-time draw and Avaí full-time win (X/1) scenario is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Avaí | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.12 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Avaí is 700% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Avaí · 0.25 pts / match - Ponte Preta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Avaí is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Avaí · 0.5 goals / match - Ponte Preta
Avaí is 150% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Avaí · 1.25 goals / match - Ponte Preta
Avaí scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Ponte Preta keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Ponte Preta scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Avaí keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Avaí
Over / Under - Ponte Preta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Avaí is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Avaí · 0.5 pts / match - Ponte Preta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Avaí - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ponte Preta - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Avaí
Ponte Preta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Avaí | Liga | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.75 | 2.14 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 31% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Avaí vs Ponte Preta?
The Serie B match finished Avaí 1:2 Ponte Preta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Avaí vs Ponte Preta?
Avaí score 1.25 goals per game on average and Ponte Preta 0.50. The Serie B average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Avaí's matches and 50% of Ponte Preta's.
What form are Avaí and Ponte Preta in?
Over the last 5 games Avaí have a 2-2-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Ponte Preta 0-1-3 (0.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avaí vs Ponte Preta?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Avaí vs Ponte Preta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.