Avellino vs Calcio Padova: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Avellino has been displaying catastrophic form in their last five matches (0 wins, 0.4 points per match), while Calcio Padova is in much better shape (1.6 points per match, 2 wins). The hosts hold a minimal home advantage (36% home wins), but their high percentage of matches without scoring (36% FTS) and negative goal difference (-4) constitute significant limitations. Padova also has an identical goal difference (-4) and a similar failure-to-score rate (36% FTS) in away games, indicating mutual difficulties in offensive efficiency. Given the hosts' weak form, the guests' better disposition, and the balanced xG and possession statistics, a draw seems the most logical conclusion to this meeting.
Avellino vs Calcio Padova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Avellino played Calcio Padova in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Avellino: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Calcio Padova: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Avellino scores 1.07 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Calcio Padova scores 1.07 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Avellino 54%, Calcio Padova 57%. Over 2.5: Avellino 50%, Calcio Padova 43%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Calcio Padova has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.11. Avellino: 9.7 shots per match, Calcio Padova: 11.0.
Match halves
Avellino: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Calcio Padova: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Avellino: 31-45+ (9 goals). Calcio Padova: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Avellino has been displaying catastrophic form in their last five matches (0 wins, 0.4 points per match), while Calcio Padova is in much better shape (1.6 points per match, 2 wins). The hosts hold a minimal home advantage (36% home wins), but their high percentage of matches without scoring (36% FTS) and negative goal difference (-4) constitute significant limitations. Padova also has an identical goal difference (-4) and a similar failure-to-score rate (36% FTS) in away games, indicating mutual difficulties in offensive efficiency. Given the hosts' weak form, the guests' better disposition, and the balanced xG and possession statistics, a draw seems the most logical conclusion to this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Avellino | Calcio Padova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Calcio Padova is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Avellino · 1.6 pts / match - Calcio Padova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Calcio Padova is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.64 goals / match - Avellino · 1.25 goals / match - Calcio Padova
Avellino scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Calcio Padova scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Avellino keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Avellino
Over / Under - Calcio Padova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Avellino is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Avellino · 0.93 pts / match - Calcio Padova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Avellino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Calcio Padova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Avellino
Calcio Padova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Avellino | Liga | Calcio Padova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.52 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Avellino 0 - 1 - 0 Calcio Padova. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Avellino vs Calcio Padova?
The Serie B match finished Avellino 1:0 Calcio Padova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Avellino vs Calcio Padova?
Avellino score 1.07 goals per game on average and Calcio Padova 1.07. The Serie B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Avellino's matches and 57% of Calcio Padova's.
What form are Avellino and Calcio Padova in?
Over the last 5 games Avellino have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Calcio Padova 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avellino vs Calcio Padova?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.