Avellino vs Carrarese: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a very close contest between teams occupying neighboring positions in the table (11th and 12th). Avellino displays decent home form with 44% of home matches won, yet their last five overall games show weaker disposition (1.2 points per match). Carrarese, despite poor away efficiency (only 11% wins), shows better current form (1.4 points per match) and fails to score less often (11% FTS% vs 33% for the hosts). Both teams have a negative goal difference in their matches, and the average number of goals in their games is high (3.11 for Avellino at home, 3.56 for Carrarese away). Considering the high draw rate of both teams this season (33% and 44%) and balanced xG values, the most likely result seems to be a share of the points, although a slight edge is given to the hosts due to their better home record.
Avellino vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Avellino played Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Avellino: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Carrarese: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Avellino scores 1.21 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Carrarese scores 1.32 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Avellino 53%, Carrarese 53%. Over 2.5: Avellino 47%, Carrarese 53%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Carrarese has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.12. Avellino: 9.8 shots per match, Carrarese: 12.9.
Match halves
Avellino: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.58. Carrarese: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Avellino: 31-45+ (8 goals). Carrarese: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a very close contest between teams occupying neighboring positions in the table (11th and 12th). Avellino displays decent home form with 44% of home matches won, yet their last five overall games show weaker disposition (1.2 points per match). Carrarese, despite poor away efficiency (only 11% wins), shows better current form (1.4 points per match) and fails to score less often (11% FTS% vs 33% for the hosts). Both teams have a negative goal difference in their matches, and the average number of goals in their games is high (3.11 for Avellino at home, 3.56 for Carrarese away). Considering the high draw rate of both teams this season (33% and 44%) and balanced xG values, the most likely result seems to be a share of the points, although a slight edge is given to the hosts due to their better home record.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Avellino | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carrarese is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Avellino · 1.4 pts / match - Carrarese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrarese is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Avellino · 1.32 goals / match - Carrarese
Carrarese is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Avellino · 1.53 goals / match - Carrarese
Avellino scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Carrarese scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Avellino keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Avellino
Over / Under - Carrarese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Avellino is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Avellino · 1.11 pts / match - Carrarese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Avellino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Avellino
Carrarese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Avellino | Liga | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.84 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 46% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 26% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 69% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Avellino 1 - 0 - 0 Carrarese. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Avellino vs Carrarese?
The Serie B match finished Avellino 1:2 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Avellino vs Carrarese?
Avellino score 1.21 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.32. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Avellino's matches and 53% of Carrarese's.
What form are Avellino and Carrarese in?
Over the last 5 games Avellino have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Carrarese 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avellino vs Carrarese?
The statistical background for Avellino vs Carrarese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.