Avellino vs Pisa: match statistics

Pisa are favourites, having remained unbeaten in their four away matches so far, with 2 wins and 2 draws, while Avellino have won 2 of their 5 home games. The visitors average 2.25 goals away from home with an xG of 1.89, while the hosts average 1.8 goals at home with an xG of 1.59, pointing to Pisa’s edge in both finishing and chance quality. Pisa also average 6.25 shots on target away from home, compared with Avellino’s 5.4 at home. The visitors’ defence looks more solid: they concede an average of 0.75 goals away and have kept a clean sheet in half of those matches, while the hosts concede 1 goal per home game and have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches. Pisa also have the advantage in recent form, having taken 8 points from 5 games compared with Avellino’s 5, although the visitors’ two away draws leave a significant possibility of the points being shared.

BTTS has occurred in 75% of Avellino’s matches and 50% of Pisa’s, rising to 80% and 60% respectively across their last five games, which points to goals at both ends. Pisa score an average of 2.25 goals per match and have an xG of 1.89, while Avellino concede an average of 1.75 goals and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The hosts also have attacking arguments in their favour: they score an average of 1.5 goals, with an xG of 1.91. The main risk for this pick is Pisa’s defence, which has kept a clean sheet in 50% of matches and concedes an average of just 0.75 goals. Even so, Avellino’s frequent Goal/Goal results and the attacking potential of both sides make BTTS - Yes the more likely outcome.

Pisa average 2.25 goals in away matches, while Avellino concede 1.75 at home, pointing to goals for the visitors. Avellino score 1.50 goals per home match and record an xG of 1.91, although Pisa keep a clean sheet in 50% of their away matches. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 75% of the relevant matches for both teams, but across their last five matches, the figures were 40% for Avellino and 60% for Pisa. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the safer option: this line has been cleared in 75% of Avellino's home matches and 100% of Pisa's away matches, with a combined projected total of 3.05 goals.

Pisa have stronger full-match numbers: they score an average of 2.25 goals and concede 0.75, while Avellino score 1.5 and concede 1.75. The away side led at the break in 2 of the 4 matches covered by the statistics and were never trailing, whereas the hosts conceded an average of 1.25 goals before half-time, compared with just 0.25 for Pisa. The visitors’ advantage is not limited to the first half: they score an average of 1.5 goals after the break, twice Avellino’s rate. A half-time draw followed by a Pisa win is also a relevant scenario, as both teams were level at half-time in 50% of their matches. Even so, Pisa’s more frequent leads at the break, combined with their more potent attack across the full match, make 2/2 the most likely HT/FT pick.