Avellino vs Südtirol: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced match with an advantage for a draw. Avellino wins 40% of their home matches, but concedes an average of 1.47 goals per game, which points to defensive issues. Südtirol displays a very defensive approach away from home with as many as 60% draws and only 1.07 goals conceded on average per away match. The recent form of both teams is average (Avellino 1.6 PPG, Südtirol 1.0 PPG in the last 5 matches), which further supports the scenario of sharing points. Low xG indicators for both teams (1.3 vs 1.36) and a high percentage of away draws suggest a cautious, tactical battle ending in a draw.
Avellino vs Südtirol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Avellino played Südtirol in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 18 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Avellino: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Südtirol: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Avellino scores 1.10 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Südtirol scores 1.03 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Avellino 53%, Südtirol 50%. Over 2.5: Avellino 50%, Südtirol 37%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Südtirol has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.14. Avellino: 9.9 shots per match, Südtirol: 12.2.
Match halves
Avellino: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.50. Südtirol: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Avellino: 31-45+ (9 goals). Südtirol: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced match with an advantage for a draw. Avellino wins 40% of their home matches, but concedes an average of 1.47 goals per game, which points to defensive issues. Südtirol displays a very defensive approach away from home with as many as 60% draws and only 1.07 goals conceded on average per away match. The recent form of both teams is average (Avellino 1.6 PPG, Südtirol 1.0 PPG in the last 5 matches), which further supports the scenario of sharing points. Low xG indicators for both teams (1.3 vs 1.36) and a high percentage of away draws suggest a cautious, tactical battle ending in a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Avellino | Südtirol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Avellino is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Avellino · 1 pts / match - Südtirol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Avellino is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Avellino · 1.03 goals / match - Südtirol
Südtirol is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Avellino · 0.97 goals / match - Südtirol
Avellino scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
Südtirol scores in 60% of matches (18 of 30 matches), while Avellino keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Avellino
Over / Under - Südtirol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Südtirol is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Avellino · 1.37 pts / match - Südtirol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Avellino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Südtirol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Avellino
Südtirol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Avellino | Liga | Südtirol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Avellino 1 - 0 - 0 Südtirol. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Avellino vs Südtirol?
The Serie B match finished Avellino 3:2 Südtirol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Avellino vs Südtirol?
Avellino score 1.10 goals per game on average and Südtirol 1.03. The Serie B average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Avellino's matches and 50% of Südtirol's.
What form are Avellino and Südtirol in?
Over the last 5 games Avellino have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Südtirol 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avellino vs Südtirol?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Avellino vs Südtirol: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.