Avia Świdnik vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: match statistics
Avia Świdnik vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Avia Świdnik played Podlasie Biała Podlaska in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Avia Świdnik: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Podlasie Biała Podlaska: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Avia Świdnik scores 2.54 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Podlasie Biała Podlaska scores 1.62 and concedes 1.58. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Avia Świdnik 62%, Podlasie Biała Podlaska 69%. Over 2.5: Avia Świdnik 65%, Podlasie Biała Podlaska 73%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Avia Świdnik has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.30. Avia Świdnik: 7.9 shots per match, Podlasie Biała Podlaska: 6.5.
Match halves
Avia Świdnik: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.88. Podlasie Biała Podlaska: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Avia Świdnik: 0-15 (34 goals). Podlasie Biała Podlaska: 0-15 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 4: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Avia Świdnik are the clear favorites: they have 18 wins this season versus Podlasie’s 10, have scored 66 goals at home (avg. 2.31 per match) and display a home goal difference of +16, while Podlasie have 42 goals and an away goal difference of +2. In the last 5 matches Avia collected 13 points (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 12 and conceding 3, whereas Podlasie have 5 points (1-2-2) with a 7-8 goal record. Quality of chances favors the hosts: Avia have xG 1.42 versus 1.33 for Podlasie, and expected goals conceded are 0.98 for Avia vs 1.57 for the visitors, indicating a stronger home defence. Efficiency also supports Avia — conversion rate 32% versus 19% for Podlasie, 0% of home matches without a goal versus 23% for the visitors, and 38% clean sheets vs 15% for Podlasie. Considering the advantage in goals scored (66 vs 42), better form (13 vs 5 points in the last 5) and superior xG, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have high BTTS rates this season: Avia Świdnik 69% and Podlasie Biała Podlaska 69%, providing a strong signal for both teams compared with the league BTTS average of 56%. In the last 5 matches BTTS was 60% for Avia and 80% for Podlasie; Avia averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded in that period, while Podlasie averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded, indicating Podlasie regularly allows goals. Season xG stands at 1.27 (Avia) vs 1.33 (Podlasie), with xG against 1.52 and 1.57 and seasonal average goals conceded 1.62 and 1.54, so both sides create and concede scoring chances. Additionally, clean sheets occur only 15% for each team, and over 2.5 is frequent: 77% for Avia and 69% for Podlasie; the over2.5 + BTTS combination is 54% and 69%, which reinforces a goals-from-both-sides scenario. On this basis I tip BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of 80% (yes) vs 20% (no) as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Avia Świdnik scored 66 goals this season (avg 1.54 per match), while Podlasie scored 42 goals (1.69), translating to a high goals tempo in their meetings (seasonal match averages: 3.16 for Avia and 3.23 for Podlasie). Both teams have 69% of matches with both teams scoring and seasonal over 1.5 rates of 100% (Avia) and 77% (Podlasie), which provides a very strong signal for Over 1.5. Forecasted xG are 1.42 for the home side and 1.43 for the away side (total 2.85), calculated from xG_for 1.27/1.33 and xG_against 1.52/1.57, confirming an expectation of at least two goals. Seasonal Over 2.5 rates are 77% (Avia) and 69% (Podlasie), averaging around 73%, so Over 2.5 is possible but less certain than 1.5; Over 3.5 at 31%/31% appears risky. For these reasons I recommend choosing Over 1.5 as the strongest and most statistically justified bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Based on the data, the most probable scenario is a half-time draw with an away win (X/2). In the last five matches both teams had a draw at the break in 75% of cases, and first-half goals average only 0.60 for Avia and 0.73 for Podlasie, which favors a stalemate after 45 minutes. In the second half the advantage lies with the visitors — they score on average 1.09 goals versus the hosts' 0.80, and their form and effectiveness are higher: 46% wins and 1.62 points per match compared to Avia’s 31% and 1.23. Additionally, the visitors have a higher shot conversion rate (19% versus 13%) and with a high share of both-teams-to-score games (BTTS 69% for both) this increases the likelihood that after an even start Podlasie will secure the win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Avia Świdnik | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.73 | 0.66 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Avia Świdnik is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Avia Świdnik · 1 pts / match - Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Avia Świdnik is 57% better for: goals scored per match.
2.54 goals / match - Avia Świdnik · 1.62 goals / match - Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Avia Świdnik is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Avia Świdnik · 1.58 goals / match - Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Avia Świdnik scores in 100% of matches (26 of 26 matches), while Podlasie Biała Podlaska keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Podlasie Biała Podlaska scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Avia Świdnik keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Avia Świdnik
Over / Under - Podlasie Biała Podlaska
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Avia Świdnik is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Avia Świdnik · 1.19 pts / match - Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Avia Świdnik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Podlasie Biała Podlaska - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (34 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (22). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Avia Świdnik
Podlasie Biała Podlaska
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).
Teams vs league
| Avia Świdnik | Liga | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.62 | 3.13 | • 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 58% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 24% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 46% | 53% | • 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 46% | 56% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Avia Świdnik 1 - 0 - 0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Avia Świdnik vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
The 3 Liga Group 4 match finished Avia Świdnik 1:1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Avia Świdnik vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
Avia Świdnik score 2.54 goals per game on average and Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1.62. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Avia Świdnik's matches and 69% of Podlasie Biała Podlaska's.
What form are Avia Świdnik and Podlasie Biała Podlaska in?
Over the last 5 games Avia Świdnik have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avia Świdnik vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.