Avia Świdnik vs Stal Kraśnik: match statistics
Avia Świdnik is in decidedly better form than Stal Kraśnik, evidenced by a record of 12 victories against just 5 for the guests this season. The hosts have scored 17 goals and won four matches in their last five outings, while Stal Kraśnik conceded 12 goals and managed only one victory in the same period. A key factor is also Avia's efficiency at home – a 56% home win rate and an average of 2.44 goals per match, whereas the guests lose 75% of their away fixtures, scoring an average of only 1 goal per match. Additionally, Stal Kraśnik has failed to score in half of their away games, which, given the hosts' offensive firepower (46 goals this season), makes a victory for Avia Świdnik highly probable. The difference in class and form is distinct enough that a draw or away win seems unrealistic.
Avia Świdnik vs Stal Kraśnik: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Avia Świdnik played Stal Kraśnik in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Avia Świdnik: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Stal Kraśnik: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Avia Świdnik scores 2.42 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Stal Kraśnik scores 1.50 and concedes 1.61. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Avia Świdnik 68%, Stal Kraśnik 61%. Over 2.5: Avia Świdnik 68%, Stal Kraśnik 61%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Avia Świdnik has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.53. Avia Świdnik: 7.9 shots per match, Stal Kraśnik: 5.3.
Match halves
Avia Świdnik: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.58. Stal Kraśnik: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Avia Świdnik: 0-15 (28 goals). Stal Kraśnik: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 4: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Avia Świdnik is in decidedly better form than Stal Kraśnik, evidenced by a record of 12 victories against just 5 for the guests this season. The hosts have scored 17 goals and won four matches in their last five outings, while Stal Kraśnik conceded 12 goals and managed only one victory in the same period. A key factor is also Avia's efficiency at home – a 56% home win rate and an average of 2.44 goals per match, whereas the guests lose 75% of their away fixtures, scoring an average of only 1 goal per match. Additionally, Stal Kraśnik has failed to score in half of their away games, which, given the hosts' offensive firepower (46 goals this season), makes a victory for Avia Świdnik highly probable. The difference in class and form is distinct enough that a draw or away win seems unrealistic.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Avia Świdnik | Stal Kraśnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 21% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.73 | 1.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Avia Świdnik is 333% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Avia Świdnik · 0.6 pts / match - Stal Kraśnik
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Avia Świdnik is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
2.42 goals / match - Avia Świdnik · 1.5 goals / match - Stal Kraśnik
Avia Świdnik is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Avia Świdnik · 1.61 goals / match - Stal Kraśnik
Avia Świdnik scores in 100% of matches (19 of 19 matches), while Stal Kraśnik keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).
Stal Kraśnik scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Avia Świdnik keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Avia Świdnik
Over / Under - Stal Kraśnik
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Avia Świdnik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stal Kraśnik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (28 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Avia Świdnik
Stal Kraśnik
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).
Teams vs league
| Avia Świdnik | Liga | Stal Kraśnik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.74 | 3.28 | ▼ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 61% | • 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 22% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 37% | 53% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Avia Świdnik 1 - 0 - 0 Stal Kraśnik. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Avia Świdnik vs Stal Kraśnik?
The 3 Liga Group 4 match finished Avia Świdnik 2:0 Stal Kraśnik. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Avia Świdnik vs Stal Kraśnik?
Avia Świdnik score 2.42 goals per game on average and Stal Kraśnik 1.50. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Avia Świdnik's matches and 61% of Stal Kraśnik's.
What form are Avia Świdnik and Stal Kraśnik in?
Over the last 5 games Avia Świdnik have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Stal Kraśnik 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avia Świdnik vs Stal Kraśnik?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.