AVS vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

AVS played CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 21 December 2025. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

AVS: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. CD Nacional: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

AVS scores 0.64 and concedes 2.64 goals per match. CD Nacional scores 1.07 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AVS 50%, CD Nacional 57%. Over 2.5: AVS 71%, CD Nacional 36%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

CD Nacional has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.10. AVS: 10.1 shots per match, CD Nacional: 11.1.

Match halves

AVS: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.36. CD Nacional: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

AVS: 76-90+ (3 goals). CD Nacional: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga Portugal: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

36Possession (%)64
AVSCD Nacional
16Shots19
AVSCD Nacional
3Shots on target6
AVSCD Nacional
1.54xG2.01
AVSCD Nacional
9Corners2
AVSCD Nacional
45Dangerous attacks54
AVSCD Nacional
10Fouls11
AVSCD Nacional
3Cards0
AVSCD Nacional

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.64Goals scored / match1.07
AVSCD Nacional
2.64Goals conceded / match1.36
AVSCD Nacional
44%Average possession43%
AVSCD Nacional
3.07Shots on target / match3.71
AVSCD Nacional

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.07Shots per match11.07
AVSCD Nacional
3.07Shots on target3.71
AVSCD Nacional
6.4%Shot conversion9.7%
AVSCD Nacional
44%Possession43%
AVSCD Nacional
1.1xG for1.23
AVSCD Nacional
1.64xG against1.64
AVSCD Nacional

Shooting quality

AVS: BalancedCD Nacional: Balanced
AVSCD Nacional
Accuracy (shots on target)30%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

CD Nacional is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - AVS · 0.8 pts / match - CD Nacional

AVS
DDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W21% D79% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-11
0.21 pts / match · goal difference -28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-5
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
LLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
CD Nacional
LDLLW
Season result split
29% W21% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-7
1.07 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.95BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CD Nacional is 67% better for: goals scored per match.

0.64 goals / match - AVS · 1.07 goals / match - CD Nacional

CD Nacional is 94% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.64 goals / match - AVS · 1.36 goals / match - CD Nacional

AVS scoring profile: strong

AVS scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).

CD Nacional scoring profile: very strong

CD Nacional scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while AVS keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 14 matches).

9Goals scored (season)15
AVSCD Nacional
37Goals conceded (season)19
AVSCD Nacional
3.29Average goals in match2.43
AVSCD Nacional
4Goals scored (last 5)5
AVSCD Nacional
15Goals conceded (last 5)6
AVSCD Nacional

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal71%
AVSCD Nacional
14%2 goals21%
AVSCD Nacional
0%3 goals14%
AVSCD Nacional
0%4 goals0%
AVSCD Nacional

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal86%
AVSCD Nacional
86%2 goals36%
AVSCD Nacional
50%3 goals7%
AVSCD Nacional
14%4 goals7%
AVSCD Nacional

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time7%
AVSCD Nacional
7%BTTS in both halves7%
AVSCD Nacional
7%Scored in both halves7%
AVSCD Nacional

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
AVSCD Nacional
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AVSCD Nacional
60%BTTS - last 560%
AVSCD Nacional

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
AVSCD Nacional
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
AVSCD Nacional
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AVSCD Nacional

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
AVSCD Nacional
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
AVSCD Nacional
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time36%
AVSCD Nacional

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CD Nacional is 186% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.5 pts / match - AVS · 1.43 pts / match - CD Nacional

AVS - half-time state
7% leading29% draw64% trailing
CD Nacional - half-time state
36% leading36% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.5Points per match (1st half)1.43
AVSCD Nacional
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.5
AVSCD Nacional
1.36Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
AVSCD Nacional
1.64Average goals (1st half)0.93
AVSCD Nacional
14%Clean sheet before half-time64%
AVSCD Nacional
79%No goal before half-time57%
AVSCD Nacional

After half-time (2nd half)

0.5Points per match (2nd half)1
AVSCD Nacional
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
AVSCD Nacional
1.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.93
AVSCD Nacional
1.64Average goals (2nd half)1.5
AVSCD Nacional
14%Clean sheet after half-time43%
AVSCD Nacional
64%No goal after half-time64%
AVSCD Nacional

AVS - second-half results

7% W29% D64% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-15
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

CD Nacional - second-half results

21% W36% D43% L
20
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AVS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.81.2
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-8-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
CD Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.41.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AVS
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
1
6
16-30
2
8
31-45
1
7
46-60
1
6
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

CD Nacional
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
4
4
31-45
2
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AVS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
46%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
210%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

CD Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).

Teams vs league

AVSLigaCD Nacional
Average goals in match 3.292.66 2.43
Both teams scored 50%44% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%51% 36%
Clean sheets 0%31% 14%
Goal before half-time 86%75% 71%
Goal after half-time 93%74% 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.26
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

6Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 231%Home wins25%Draws44%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of AVS vs CD Nacional?

The Liga NOS match finished AVS 2:2 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before AVS vs CD Nacional?

AVS score 0.64 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.07. The Liga NOS average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of AVS's matches and 57% of CD Nacional's.

What form are AVS and CD Nacional in?

Over the last 5 games AVS have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and CD Nacional 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AVS vs CD Nacional?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.