Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna: match statistics
Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Awassa Kenema play Ethiopia Bunna in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 28 May 2026 at 14:00. Venue: Yirgalem Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Awassa Kenema: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ethiopia Bunna: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Awassa Kenema scores 0.95 and concedes 0.87 goals per match. Ethiopia Bunna scores 1.05 and concedes 1.03. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Awassa Kenema 45%, Ethiopia Bunna 47%. Over 2.5: Awassa Kenema 26%, Ethiopia Bunna 37%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopia Bunna has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.07. Awassa Kenema: 6.8 shots per match, Ethiopia Bunna: 7.5.
Match halves
Awassa Kenema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.58. Ethiopia Bunna: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Awassa Kenema: 46-60 (8 goals). Ethiopia Bunna: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X) because both teams have very similar xG values (Awassa 1.1 vs Ethiopia Bunna 1.16) and a low average goals per game (home 1.06 vs away 0.94), indicating an even, low-scoring contest. Ethiopia Bunna shows better form over the last 5 matches — 5 goals and 1.0 points per game versus just 2 goals and 0.4 points for Awassa — and greater away possession control (55% possession vs 46%), so the visitors create more of the play. Conversely, Awassa is more efficient in opportunities (conversion 16% vs 12%) and less likely to finish matches goalless at home (25% FTS vs 38% for the visitors), which limits the home side’s risk of defeat. Defensively both teams are comparable: an average of 0.75 conceded at home for the hosts versus 0.81 conceded away for the visitors, with clean sheets at 38% vs 44%, which favors a draw. Considering Awassa’s frequent home draws (44%) and the balanced xG and defensive stats, I assign the draw the highest probability at 45%, 30% to the visitors for better form, and 25% to the hosts for higher efficiency.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Awassa Kenema | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Bunna is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Awassa Kenema · 1.05 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Awassa Kenema is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.87 goals / match - Awassa Kenema · 1.03 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Awassa Kenema scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Awassa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Awassa Kenema
Over / Under — Ethiopia Bunna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopia Bunna is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Awassa Kenema · 1.29 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Awassa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Awassa Kenema
Ethiopia Bunna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Awassa Kenema | Liga | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.82 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 40% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▲ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 37% | 40% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▲ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 66% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Awassa Kenema 0 - 1 - 0 Ethiopia Bunna. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Awassa Kenema 1:0 Ethiopia Bunna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Awassa Kenema score 0.95 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Bunna 1.05. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Awassa Kenema's matches and 47% of Ethiopia Bunna's.
What form are Awassa Kenema and Ethiopia Bunna in?
Over the last 5 games Awassa Kenema have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ethiopia Bunna 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.