Awassa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced clash with a slight leaning towards a draw. Awassa Kenema performs solidly at home with a record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses, though their form in the last 5 matches is mixed (1.6 points per match). As visitors, Kedus Giorgis boasts a better win rate (43%), higher average possession (51% vs 48%), and superior xG figures (1.45 vs 1.14), indicating greater offensive efficiency. However, the visitors' recent form is very poor—5 draws and 1 loss in recent games (0.8 points per match)—suggesting a slump. Given the poor form of both teams, low goal averages, and matched capabilities, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome.
Awassa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Awassa Kenema played Kedus Giorgis in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 9 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Awassa Kenema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Kedus Giorgis: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Awassa Kenema scores 1.08 and concedes 0.77 goals per match. Kedus Giorgis scores 0.85 and concedes 0.69. League average: 1.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Awassa Kenema 46%, Kedus Giorgis 38%. Over 2.5: Awassa Kenema 31%, Kedus Giorgis 8%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Kedus Giorgis has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.09. Awassa Kenema: 6.6 shots per match, Kedus Giorgis: 9.9.
Match halves
Awassa Kenema: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.62. Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
Awassa Kenema: 61-75 (4 goals). Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.74 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced clash with a slight leaning towards a draw. Awassa Kenema performs solidly at home with a record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses, though their form in the last 5 matches is mixed (1.6 points per match). As visitors, Kedus Giorgis boasts a better win rate (43%), higher average possession (51% vs 48%), and superior xG figures (1.45 vs 1.14), indicating greater offensive efficiency. However, the visitors' recent form is very poor—5 draws and 1 loss in recent games (0.8 points per match)—suggesting a slump. Given the poor form of both teams, low goal averages, and matched capabilities, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Awassa Kenema | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Awassa Kenema is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Awassa Kenema · 0.8 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Awassa Kenema is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Awassa Kenema · 0.85 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis
Kedus Giorgis is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.77 goals / match - Awassa Kenema · 0.69 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis
Awassa Kenema scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
Kedus Giorgis scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Awassa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Awassa Kenema
Over / Under - Kedus Giorgis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kedus Giorgis is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Awassa Kenema · 1.46 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Awassa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Awassa Kenema
Kedus Giorgis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Awassa Kenema | Liga | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.85 | 1.74 | ▼ 1.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 46% | 43% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 31% | 27% | ▼ 8% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 38% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 59% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Awassa KenemaGoalShimeles Bekele Godo
FAQ
What was the result of Awassa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Awassa Kenema 1:0 Kedus Giorgis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Awassa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Awassa Kenema score 1.08 goals per game on average and Kedus Giorgis 0.85. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Awassa Kenema's matches and 38% of Kedus Giorgis's.
What form are Awassa Kenema and Kedus Giorgis in?
Over the last 5 games Awassa Kenema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Kedus Giorgis 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Awassa Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.