Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl: match statistics
Awassa Kenema presents solid home form with 50% wins at home and only 25% losses, making them the favorite for this encounter. The hosts remain unbeaten in their last five matches overall (2 wins, 3 draws) and have conceded only one goal, evidencing a very good defense. Mebrat Hayl faces serious effectiveness issues on the road—averaging only 0.38 goals per match, and failing to score in 63% of away games. The visitors have won a mere 13% of their away matches and hold a negative goal difference (-3), which further diminishes their chances. Considering the hosts' advantage in form, efficiency, and defense, I expect an Awassa Kenema victory, though the relatively low scoring efficiency of both teams could lead to a draw.
Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Awassa Kenema played Mebrat Hayl in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Awassa Kenema: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Mebrat Hayl: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Awassa Kenema scores 1.06 and concedes 0.65 goals per match. Mebrat Hayl scores 0.65 and concedes 0.47. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Awassa Kenema 41%, Mebrat Hayl 24%. Over 2.5: Awassa Kenema 24%, Mebrat Hayl 18%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mebrat Hayl has higher xG: 1.10 vs 1.04. Awassa Kenema: 6.1 shots per match, Mebrat Hayl: 6.9.
Match halves
Awassa Kenema: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.65. Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Awassa Kenema: 46-60 (4 goals). Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Awassa Kenema presents solid home form with 50% wins at home and only 25% losses, making them the favorite for this encounter. The hosts remain unbeaten in their last five matches overall (2 wins, 3 draws) and have conceded only one goal, evidencing a very good defense. Mebrat Hayl faces serious effectiveness issues on the road—averaging only 0.38 goals per match, and failing to score in 63% of away games. The visitors have won a mere 13% of their away matches and hold a negative goal difference (-3), which further diminishes their chances. Considering the hosts' advantage in form, efficiency, and defense, I expect an Awassa Kenema victory, though the relatively low scoring efficiency of both teams could lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Awassa Kenema | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Awassa Kenema is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Awassa Kenema · 1.2 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Awassa Kenema is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Awassa Kenema · 0.65 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl
Mebrat Hayl is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.65 goals / match - Awassa Kenema · 0.47 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl
Awassa Kenema scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 65% (11 of 17 matches).
Mebrat Hayl scores in 47% of matches (8 of 17 matches), while Awassa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Awassa Kenema
Over / Under - Mebrat Hayl
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Awassa Kenema is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Awassa Kenema · 0.94 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Awassa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Awassa Kenema
Mebrat Hayl
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Awassa Kenema | Liga | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.71 | 1.72 | ▼ 1.12 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 41% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 41% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 56% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 65% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Awassa KenemaGoalGetaneh Kebede Gebeto
FAQ
What was the result of Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Awassa Kenema 2:0 Mebrat Hayl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?
Awassa Kenema score 1.06 goals per game on average and Mebrat Hayl 0.65. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Awassa Kenema's matches and 24% of Mebrat Hayl's.
What form are Awassa Kenema and Mebrat Hayl in?
Over the last 5 games Awassa Kenema have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Mebrat Hayl 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?
The statistical background for Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.