Ayr United vs Airdrieonians: match statistics
Ayr United occupies a significantly higher position in the table (4th place) compared to Airdrieonians (8th place), evidencing their better overall disposition this season. The hosts present superior offensive statistics, averaging 1.22 goals per home match with a higher xG (1.42) than the visitors do away (xG: 1.1). Airdrieonians display poor away form with a 50% loss rate and only 30% wins, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. Although Ayr United has a high percentage of home draws (44%), their advantage in possession (52% vs 47%) and shooting efficiency (5.11 shots on target per match) argues for their victory. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches); however, home advantage and better offensive metrics give Ayr United a real chance for three points, though a draw remains possible due to their tendency to share points at their own stadium.
Ayr United vs Airdrieonians: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ayr United played Airdrieonians in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ayr United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Airdrieonians: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ayr United scores 1.30 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Airdrieonians scores 0.81 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ayr United 60%, Airdrieonians 43%. Over 2.5: Ayr United 35%, Airdrieonians 48%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Ayr United has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.07. Ayr United: 10.9 shots per match, Airdrieonians: 8.9.
Match halves
Ayr United: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.35. Airdrieonians: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Ayr United: 0-15 (9 goals). Airdrieonians: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ayr United occupies a significantly higher position in the table (4th place) compared to Airdrieonians (8th place), evidencing their better overall disposition this season. The hosts present superior offensive statistics, averaging 1.22 goals per home match with a higher xG (1.42) than the visitors do away (xG: 1.1). Airdrieonians display poor away form with a 50% loss rate and only 30% wins, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. Although Ayr United has a high percentage of home draws (44%), their advantage in possession (52% vs 47%) and shooting efficiency (5.11 shots on target per match) argues for their victory. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches); however, home advantage and better offensive metrics give Ayr United a real chance for three points, though a draw remains possible due to their tendency to share points at their own stadium.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ayr United | Airdrieonians | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ayr United is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Ayr United · 0.81 goals / match - Airdrieonians
Ayr United is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Ayr United · 1.43 goals / match - Airdrieonians
Ayr United scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Airdrieonians keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Airdrieonians scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ayr United
Over / Under - Airdrieonians
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayr United is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Ayr United · 0.9 pts / match - Airdrieonians
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Airdrieonians - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ayr United
Airdrieonians
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Ayr United | Liga | Airdrieonians | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.45 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 50% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 32% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 70% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 72% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ayr United 2 - 0 - 0 Airdrieonians. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ayr United vs Airdrieonians?
The Championship match finished Ayr United 1:1 Airdrieonians. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ayr United and Airdrieonians?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ayr United won 2, Airdrieonians won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs Airdrieonians?
Ayr United score 1.30 goals per game on average and Airdrieonians 0.81. The Championship average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Ayr United's matches and 43% of Airdrieonians's.
What form are Ayr United and Airdrieonians in?
Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Airdrieonians 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs Airdrieonians?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.