Scotland - ChampionshipData current as of 20 September 2026

Match suspended or postponed

The match time may change. Statistics remain available as match context.

Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic: match statistics

Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ayr United play Dunfermline Athletic in Championship (Scotland). The match time may change. Statistics remain available as match context.

Current form

Ayr United: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Dunfermline Athletic: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ayr United scores 1.13 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Dunfermline Athletic scores 1.50 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ayr United 65%, Dunfermline Athletic 40%. Over 2.5: Ayr United 39%, Dunfermline Athletic 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

Ayr United has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.35. Ayr United: 10.6 shots per match, Dunfermline Athletic: 10.4.

Match halves

Ayr United: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.39. Dunfermline Athletic: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Ayr United: 0-15 (9 goals). Dunfermline Athletic: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
1.13Goals scored / match1.5
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
1.26Goals conceded / match1.17
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
50%Average possession51%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
4Shots on target / match4.2
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.61Shots per match10.4
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
4Shots on target4.2
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
10.6%Shot conversion14.4%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
50%Possession51%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
1.38xG for1.35
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
1.24xG against1.32
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic

Shooting quality

Ayr United: BalancedDunfermline Athletic: Efficient finishing
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
Accuracy (shots on target)38%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Dunfermline Athletic is 550% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Ayr United · 2.6 pts / match - Dunfermline Athletic

Ayr United
LDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
23% W48% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-15-9
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-7-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WDLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Dunfermline Athletic
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
40% W23% D37% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-7-11
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-6
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dunfermline Athletic is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.13 goals / match - Ayr United · 1.5 goals / match - Dunfermline Athletic

Dunfermline Athletic is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.26 goals / match - Ayr United · 1.17 goals / match - Dunfermline Athletic

Ayr United scoring profile: strong

Ayr United scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Dunfermline Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).

Dunfermline Athletic scoring profile: very strong

Dunfermline Athletic scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).

35Goals scored (season)45
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
39Goals conceded (season)35
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
2.39Average goals in match2.67
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
3Goals scored (last 5)12
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
8Goals conceded (last 5)3
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal73%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
26%2 goals50%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
10%3 goals17%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
3%4 goals7%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal60%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
32%2 goals43%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
13%3 goals10%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
3%4 goals3%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
Dunfermline Athletic - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 30 matches
49%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time17%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
3%BTTS in both halves13%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
10%Scored in both halves33%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
60%BTTS - last 540%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time87%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic

2nd half

61%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ayr United is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.45 pts / match - Ayr United · 1.33 pts / match - Dunfermline Athletic

Ayr United - half-time state
39% leading29% draw32% trailing
Dunfermline Athletic - half-time state
37% leading23% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.45Points per match (1st half)1.33
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
0.74Goals scored (1st half)0.7
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.37
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
58%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
48%No goal before half-time47%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
0.39Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
1.13Average goals (2nd half)1.3
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
48%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic
68%No goal after half-time47%
Ayr UnitedDunfermline Athletic

Ayr United - second-half results

16% W52% D32% L
45
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding59%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Dunfermline Athletic - second-half results

37% W40% D23% L
40
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding108%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ayr United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.60
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Dunfermline Athletic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.60
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+2+7
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ayr United
ScoredConceded
9
6
0-15
9
4
16-30
5
6
31-45
4
9
46-60
2
5
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Dunfermline Athletic
ScoredConceded
3
11
0-15
7
5
16-30
11
4
31-45
9
3
46-60
5
6
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.53
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ayr United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Dunfermline Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Ayr UnitedLigaDunfermline Athletic
Average goals in match 2.392.43 2.67
Both teams scored 65%49% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%45% 50%
Clean sheets 23%32% 40%
Goal before half-time 77%69% 87%
Goal after half-time 61%68% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Duncan NicolsonMatches officiated: 12
4.25Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 217%Home wins25%Draws57%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Ayr United 2 - 0 - 1 Dunfermline Athletic. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 : 3
Ayr United FC
Ayr United FC
0 : 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 : 1
Ayr United FC